deedsker Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Geeks... i'm just glad someone is lame enough to do the research. agreed Quote Link to comment
walksalone Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Geeks... i'm just glad someone is lame enough to do the research. agreed Quote Link to comment
Scarlet Overkill Posted October 17, 2011 Author Share Posted October 17, 2011 If I was a true nerd, I'd use my own ranking system. Quote Link to comment
walksalone Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 If I was a true nerd, I'd use my own ranking system. Yeah, using NCAA 12, simulating the end of the season 500 times and averaging the data Quote Link to comment
bshirt Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Big wins vs Iowa (13) , Minn (26), NW (19) Fairly large loss vs Michigan (-9) very close losses vs MSU (-0.4), PSU (-2). Huh? How Michigan is rated so much more tougher than MSU is beyond me. I can see them being at home worth...what?.....3 pts? Hmm......or maybe it's the full nine? Quote Link to comment
Scarlet Overkill Posted October 17, 2011 Author Share Posted October 17, 2011 3 points were added as the HFA in the calculated "point spread". Quote Link to comment
Excel Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 What was the average point differential per projection? What's the standard margin of error? How large was your sample size and how was it selected? Was your work even peer-reviewed? I'm highly skeptical of your results, I find them shallow and pedantic. Quote Link to comment
Scarlet Overkill Posted October 17, 2011 Author Share Posted October 17, 2011 eh, go ask Jeff himself - I just used what he puts out on a weekly basis. Quote Link to comment
irafreak Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Because I was seriously bored, and kind of geeky.... I used Sagarin as a predictor of how each division would finish. (commentary below it) Leaders Team Conf Record non-div record Wisconsin 8-0 3-0 Penn State 6-2 3-0 Ohio State 4-4 0-3 Illinois 4-4 2-1 Purdue 2-6 0-3 Indiana 0-8 0-3 Legends Team Conf Record non-div record Michigan St 7-1 2-1 Michigan 7-1 3-0 Nebraska 4-4 1-2 Iowa 4-4 2-1 Northw'tern 1-7 1-2 Minnesota 0-8 0-3 And that is why they play the games because the computer doesn't take into account anything other than some numbers. Using the predictor, Michigan State is favored by less than a point, and Penn State is favored by about 2 points. I like the fact that MSU plays Wisconsin the week before us, and we're at home for that game as well. I get the feeling my comment was lost on a couple posters.... Quote Link to comment
sd'sker Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 What was the average point differential per projection? What's the standard margin of error? How large was your sample size and how was it selected? Was your work even peer-reviewed? I'm highly skeptical of your results, I find them shallow and pedantic. how are his results hungry? Quote Link to comment
deedsker Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 What was the average point differential per projection? What's the standard margin of error? How large was your sample size and how was it selected? Was your work even peer-reviewed? I'm highly skeptical of your results, I find them shallow and pedantic. how are his results hungry? Defenses get eaten up Quote Link to comment
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