Scratchtown Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Florida Atlantic Owls - Win McNeese State Cowboys - Win Fresno State Bulldogs - Win Miami Hurricanes - Loss Michigan State Spartans - Loss Illinois Fighting Illini - Win Northwestern Wildcats - Win Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Win Purdue Boilermakers - Win Wisconsin Badgers - Loss Minnesota Golden Gophers - Win Iowa Hawkeyes - WinBack to the Gator Bowl, and a Loss vs Tennessee. Quote Link to comment
walksalone Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 My 11-1 prediction was predicated on the O line staying healthy, the D getting even better and TA working out the freshman jitters... Quote Link to comment
Thanks_Tom RR Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 I am going to give credit to Excel (Bucky) for this prediction, as it was his equation that I used to calculate a win-lose record. In the end, I got a 11-1 regular schedule record (with the only lose coming to Northwestern) and a B1G CC Win vs either Ohio St or Michigan St. Looks like the games at Fresno St and Iowa are close. Here's my work. Excel can let us know if I misread his equation. Win = >50, Lose = <50. Here is where I got my returning starters' data (A1 and B1), http://www.collegefootballuniverseblog.com/1/post/2013/04/college-football-returning-starters-2013.html Here is where I got my winning record stats (A2-4 and B2-4), http://football.stassen.com/records/h-win-pct.html Here is Excel's equation, Personally, I think we should be a little more leery about the Miami, Michigan St, and Wisconsin games, but the math is what it is. Dude that's awesome. I know that takes a lot of work. Not as hard a doing this for a whole conference, like you. I would be interested in looking into other equations or a regression analyses that incorporate more factors like strength of schedule/conference and home field bias (though your equation has a built in home field bias component which I like). Haven't found any that I like yet, maybe Dan Gillick's prediction regression. Quote Link to comment
Saint Boseph Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Florida Atlantic Owls - Win McNeese State Cowboys - Win Fresno State Bulldogs - Win Miami Hurricanes - Win Michigan State Spartans - Loss Illinois Fighting Illini - Win Northwestern Wildcats - Win Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Win Purdue Boilermakers - Win Wisconsin Badgers - Win Minnesota Golden Gophers - Win Iowa Hawkeyes - Win These are my predictions assuming no injuries. Our 2-deep is decisively better in every matchup except for MSU. And even then it is extremely close. But the home field advantage likely swings it in their favor. Wisconsin is being overhyped , I'm predicting their season will be a major flop. I usually don't put much stock into prior games having much effect on this season but I have a feeling the players will be at least a little bit mindful of last season's game with Iowa and play with a little extra juice Quote Link to comment
The Dude Posted November 29, 2014 Author Share Posted November 29, 2014 How'd ya'll fare? Quote Link to comment
Abdullah the Butcher Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 Florida Atlantic Owls - Win McNeese State Cowboys - Win Fresno State Bulldogs - Win Miami Hurricanes - Win Illinois Fighting Illini - Win Michigan State Spartans - Loss Northwestern Wildcats - Loss Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Win Purdue Boilermakers - Win Wisconsin Badgers - Loss Minnesota Golden Gophers - Win Iowa Hawkeyes - Win How'd ya'll fare? Almost nailed it, I had Northwestern instead of Minnesota. Quote Link to comment
The Dude Posted November 29, 2014 Author Share Posted November 29, 2014 I should have flip-flopped Iowa and Minnesota. Oh, so close. Sad how we can basically write a script for how the seasons will turn out anymore. Quote Link to comment
True2tRA Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 Damn. I had a loss to Northwestern instead of Minnesota. I won't make that mistake again. Minnesota looks like they keep getting better and better and we stay the same or regress...... Quote Link to comment
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