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***OFFICIAL*** 2014 HuskerBoard Predictions


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Florida Atlantic Owls - Win

McNeese State Cowboys - Win

Fresno State Bulldogs - Win

Miami Hurricanes - Loss

Michigan State Spartans - Loss

Illinois Fighting Illini - Win

Northwestern Wildcats - Win

Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Win

Purdue Boilermakers - Win

Wisconsin Badgers - Loss

Minnesota Golden Gophers - Win

Iowa Hawkeyes - Win

Back to the Gator Bowl, and a Loss vs Tennessee.

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I am going to give credit to Excel (Bucky) for this prediction, as it was his equation that I used to calculate a win-lose record.

 

In the end, I got a 11-1 regular schedule record (with the only lose coming to Northwestern) and a B1G CC Win vs either Ohio St or Michigan St. Looks like the games at Fresno St and Iowa are close. Here's my work. Excel can let us know if I misread his equation. Win = >50, Lose = <50.

 

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Here is where I got my returning starters' data (A1 and B1), http://www.collegefootballuniverseblog.com/1/post/2013/04/college-football-returning-starters-2013.html

Here is where I got my winning record stats (A2-4 and B2-4), http://football.stassen.com/records/h-win-pct.html

Here is Excel's equation,

ZN8Vkb3.png

 

 

Personally, I think we should be a little more leery about the Miami, Michigan St, and Wisconsin games, but the math is what it is.

Dude that's awesome. I know that takes a lot of work. :cheers

Not as hard a doing this for a whole conference, like you. I would be interested in looking into other equations or a regression analyses that incorporate more factors like strength of schedule/conference and home field bias (though your equation has a built in home field bias component which I like). Haven't found any that I like yet, maybe Dan Gillick's prediction regression.
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Florida Atlantic Owls - Win

McNeese State Cowboys - Win

Fresno State Bulldogs - Win

Miami Hurricanes - Win

Michigan State Spartans - Loss

Illinois Fighting Illini - Win

Northwestern Wildcats - Win

Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Win

Purdue Boilermakers - Win

Wisconsin Badgers - Win

Minnesota Golden Gophers - Win

Iowa Hawkeyes - Win

 

These are my predictions assuming no injuries. Our 2-deep is decisively better in every matchup except for MSU. And even then it is extremely close. But the home field advantage likely swings it in their favor.

 

Wisconsin is being overhyped , I'm predicting their season will be a major flop.

 

I usually don't put much stock into prior games having much effect on this season but I have a feeling the players will be at least a little bit mindful of last season's game with Iowa and play with a little extra juice

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  • 6 months later...

Florida Atlantic Owls - Win

McNeese State Cowboys - Win

Fresno State Bulldogs - Win

Miami Hurricanes - Win

Illinois Fighting Illini - Win

Michigan State Spartans - Loss

Northwestern Wildcats - Loss

Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Win

Purdue Boilermakers - Win

Wisconsin Badgers - Loss

Minnesota Golden Gophers - Win

Iowa Hawkeyes - Win

How'd ya'll fare?

Almost nailed it, I had Northwestern instead of Minnesota.

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