Excel Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Just like a teenage girl with Cosmo, I'm a sucker for lists. Here are some for the coming season brought to us by Athlon Sports. Way too early 2012 Top 25 1. LSU 2. So Cal 3. Alabama 4. Georgia 5. Oklahoma 6. Oregon 7. Michigan 8. Arkansas 9. Florida State 10. Ohio State 11. South Carolina 12. Texas 13. West Virginia 14. Michigan State 15. Clemtech 16. Virginia Tech 17. Nebraska 18. Notre Dame 19. TCU 20. Washington 21. Kansas State 22. Wisconsin 23. Louisville 24. Boise State 25. Oklahoma State 2012 Big Ten predicted Division standings Dumb Division name one 1. Ohio State 2. Wisconsin 3. Penn State 4. Illinois 5. Purdue 6. Indiana Dumb Division name two 1. Michigan 2. Michigan State 3. Nebraska 4. Iowa 5. Northwestern 6. Minnesnowta 2012: Teams on the rise 1. Ohio State 2. Texas 3. Warshington 2012: Teams on the decline 1. Boise State 2. Oklahoma State 3. Stanford Top 25 Division One Coaches 1. Nick Saban, UA: 146-54-1, 3 NC's, 3 CC's 2. Urban Meyer, OSU: 104-23, 2 NC's, 4 CC's 3. Bob Stoops, OU: 139-34, 1 NC, 7 CC's 4. Frank Beemer, VT: 251-121-4, 7 CC's 5. Chris Petersen, BSU: 73-6, 4 CC's 6. Chip Kelly, ORG: 34-6, 3 CC's 7. Gary Patterson, TCU: 109-30, 5 CC's 8. Steve Spurrier, USC: 197-75-2, 1 NC, 6 CC's 9. Brian Kelly, ND: 69-32, 3 CC's 10. Lane Kiffin, So Cal: 25-13 11. Brady Hoke, UM: 58-52 12. Mark Dantonio, MSU: 62-39, 1 CC 13. Mike Gundy, OkSt: 59-30, 1 CC 14. Mack Brown, UT: 227-113-1, 1 NC 15. Bill Snyder, KSU: 159-83-1, 1 CC 16. Mark Richt, UGA: 106-38, 2 CC's 17. Pat Fitzgerald, NU: 40-36 18. Mike Leach, WSU: 84-43 19. Dan Mullen, Miss St: 21-17 20. Les Miles, LSU: 103-39, 1 NC, 2 CC's 21. Paul Johnson, GT: 104-58, 1 CC 22. Art Briles, BU: 59-53, 1 CC 23. Brett Bielema, UW: 60-19, 2 CC's 24. Gary Pinkel, MU: 158-91-3, 1 CC 25. Al Golden, Miami: 33-40 Ranking the Big Ten's Coaches 1. Urban Meyer, Ohio State 2. Brady Hoke, Michigan 3. Mark Dantonio, Michigan State 4. Pat Fitzgerald, Northwestern 5. Bret Bielema, Wisconsin 6. Kirk Ferentz, Iowa 7. Bo Pelini, Nebraska 8. Jerry Kill, Minnesota 9. Tim Beckman, Illinois 10. Danny Hope, Purdue 11. Bill O'Brien, Penn State 12. Kevin Wilson, Indiana Coaches on the "Hot Seat" Frank Spaziani, Boston College Joker Phillips, Kentucky Derek Dooley, Tennessee Randy Edsall, Maryland Tommy Tuberville, Texas Tech Jeff Tedford, California Kirk Ferentz, Iowa Dabo Swiney, Clempson 2012 Heisman watchlist Finalists Matt Barkley, QB, So Cal Senior Marcus Lattimore, RB, USC, Junior Denard Robinson, QB, UM, Senior Montee Ball, RB, UW, Senior Runners up Geno Smith, QB, WVU, Senior Robert Woods, WR, USC, Junior Aaron Murray, QB, UGA, Junior Rex Burkhead, RB, NU, Senior Logan Thomas, QB, VT, Senior Collin Klein, QB, KSU, Senior Others contending Darron Thomas, QB, Oregon, Senior Landry Jones, QB, OU, Senior Sammy Dropkins, WR, Clempson, Sophomore Some RB's from Oregon Another guy that wears orange Ryan Aplin, QB, Ark St, Senior Long shots Braxton Miller, QB, OSU, Sophomore Keith Price, QB, Washington, Junior Keenen Allen, WR, Cal, Junior Knile Davis, RB, Arkansas, Junior Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas, Senior Marquess Wilson, WR, Washington State, Junior Quote Link to comment
MLB 51 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Here's my take.Brain Kelly at #9 is crap. He should be on the hot seat list. No love for BO is BS as well. Kirk Ferentz on the hot seat list yet he comes in higher than Bo on The B!G list of coaches. As far as the heisman goes. I take Ball over all of them with Lattimore a real close second. Even though Ball runs like a girl. Quote Link to comment
Excel Posted April 22, 2012 Author Share Posted April 22, 2012 Here's my take.Brain Kelly at #9 is crap. He should be on the hot seat list. No love for BO is BS as well. Kirk Ferentz on the hot seat list yet he comes in higher than Bo on The B!G list of coaches. As far as the heisman goes. I take Ball over all of them with Lattimore a real close second. Even though Ball runs like a girl. I see a whole lot to hate on in these lists...the coach lists especially but the authors come out and say "One thing to keep in mind - the record is not always indicative of where a coach should rank in a conference" to cover for it. Anyhow, Hoke being that highly ranked is a joke but I will give respect where its due and say Ferentz and Fitzgerald are indeed great coaches. Their top 25 is also faulty. I know its early but I wish they'd get away from pandering to fan bases in making these things...Michigan and FSU? No.. As far as the Heisman goes I don't know what to think. I feel like it'll be another year where someone we don't expect impresses the nation and wins it...I doubt Ball has near the season he had last year and Lattimore's knee worries me, he finally gets to start cutting again in May... Quote Link to comment
MLB 51 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I think Ball has as good or even better year than last. Should get a few more touches tthis year without Wilson in the back field and having a new QB who knows what happens. Quote Link to comment
Omaha-Husker Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I still don't get MSU being so highly ranked all over the place. They will have a great defense, but lose 4 starting O-Linemen, starting QB, starting RB and their top 4 receivers. That is assuming a lot for up coming talent on that side of the ball. Quote Link to comment
Muck Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Did it really say "Warshington"? Quote Link to comment
Excel Posted April 29, 2012 Author Share Posted April 29, 2012 Phil Steele's projected 2012 preseason top 10 1. LSU 2. Southern California 3. Alabama 4. Oregon 5. Oklahoma 6. Georgia 7. Michigan 8. Florida State 9. Arkansas 10. West Virginia AP preseason 2012 top 24 1. LSU 2. Southern California 3. Alabama 4. Oregon 5. Oklahoma 6. Georgia 7. Arkansas 8. Michigan 9. Florida State 10. South Carolina 11. West Virginia 12. Michigan State 13. Kansas State 14. Clemson 15. TCU 16. Wisconsin 17. Virginia Tech 18. Ohio State 19. Nebraska 20. Stanford 21. Boise State 22. Texas 23. Oklahoma State 24. Florida Orlando Sentinel 1. Southern California 2. LSU 3. Oregon 4. Alabama 5. Oklahoma 6. Georgia 7. Florida State 8. Michigan 9. South Carolina 10. Ohio State 11. Kansas State 12. Michigan State 13. Arkansas 14. Nebraska 15. Clemson 16. Auburn 17. Virginia Tech 18. West Virginia 19. Texas 20. TCU 21. Wisconsin 22. Texas A&M 23. Warshington 24. Baylor 25. Boise State Sports Illustrated 1. LSU 2. Southern California 3. Oregon 4. Arkansas 5. Alabama 6. Michigan State 7. South Carolina 8. Oklahoma 9. Georgia 10. TCU 11. Michigan 12. Wisconsin 13. West Virginia 14. Clemson 15. Kansas State 16. Nebraska 17. Florida State 18. Virginia Tech 19. Boise State 20. Stanford 21. Texas 22. Notre Dame 23. Auburn 24. Oklahoma State 25. Georgia Tech ESPN 1. Southern California 2. Alabama 3. LSU 4. Oklahoma 5. Georgia 6. Oregon 7. West Virginia 8. Florida State 9. Michigan State 10. South Carolina 11. Arkansas 12. Kansas State 13. Stanford 14. Michigan 15. TCU 16. Ohio State 17. Nebraska 18. Wisconsin 19. Oklahoma State 20. Virginia Tech 21. Boise State 22. Texas 23. Clemson 24. Notre Dame 25. Florida Quote Link to comment
Excel Posted April 29, 2012 Author Share Posted April 29, 2012 Big Ten composite Michigan: 7, 7, 8, 8, 11, 14 Average: 9 Michigan State: 14, 12, 12, 6, 9 Average: 11 Ohio State: 10, 18, 10, 16 Average: 14 Nebraska: 17, 19, 14, 16, 17 Average: 17 Wisconsin: 22, 16, 21, 12, 18 Average: 18 Heisman watchlists Scout 1. Matt Barkley, QB, Southern California 2. Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin 3. Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia 4. Denard Robinson, QB, Michigan 5. Marcus Lattimore, RB, South Carolina 6. Collin Klein, QB, Kansas State 7. Kenjon Barner, RB, Oregon 8. Tajh Boyd, QB, Clempson 9. Tyrann Mathieu, DB, LSU 10. Braxton Miller, QB, Ohio State 11. Landry Jones, QB, Oklahoma 12. Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas 13. Knile Davis, RB, Arkansas 14. Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama 15. Aaron Murray, QB, Georgia USA Today 1. Matt Barkley, QB, Southern California 2. Marcus Lattimore, RB, South Carolina 3. Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin 4. Denard Robinson, QB, Michigan 5. Tyrann Mathieu, DB, LSU 6. Landry Jones, QB, Oklahoma 7. Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia 8. Kenjon Barner, RB, Oregon National Football Post 1. Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin 2. Tyrann Mathieu, DB, LSU 3. Matt Barkley, QB, Southern California 4. Collin Klein, QB, Kansas State 5. Denard Robinson, QB, Michigan Odds setter Danny Sheridan Matt Barkley: 5:1 Montee Ball: 6:1 Landry Jones: 7:1 Denard Robinson: 7:1 Geno Smith: 10:1 Aaron Murray: 12:1 Marcus Lattimore: 12:1 Tyler Wilson: 15:1 Dayne Crist: 25:1 De'Anthony Thomas: 25:1 Rex Burkhead 25:1 Sammy Dropkins: 25:1 AJ McCarron: 30:1 Keith Price: 40:1 Quote Link to comment
Excel Posted April 30, 2012 Author Share Posted April 30, 2012 "Predictive trends" 2011 best case / worst case by team Michigan State Four wins by one score or less, one loss. Best case: 12-2, Worst case: 7-6 Michigan Three wins by one score or less, zero losses. Best case: 11-2, Worst case: 8-5 Nebraska Two wins by one score or less, one loss. Best case: 11-2, Worst case: 8-5 Iowa One win by one score or less, two losses. Best case: 9-4, Worst case: 6-7 Northwestern Two wins by one score or less, two losses. Best case: 8-5. Worst case: 4-8 Minnesota One win by one score or less, three losses. Best case: 6-6, Worst case: 2-10 Wisconsin One win by one score or less, three losses. Best case: 14-0, Worst case: 10-4 Penn State Five wins by one score or less, one loss. Best case: 10-3, Worst case: 4-8 Purdue Four wins by one score or less, two losses. Best case: 11-2, Worst case: 5-7 Ohio State Two wins by one score or less, four losses. Best case: 11-2, Worst case: 4-8 Illinois Four wins by one score or less, one loss. Best case: 8-5, Worst case: 4-8 Indiana Zero wins by one score or less, four losses. Best case: 5-7, Indiana earned its worst possible record. Turnover margin 4. Wisconsin +16 25. Michigan +7 25. Michigan State +7 30. Ohio State +5 40. Northwestern +3 52. Iowa +1 52. Penn State +1 52. Purdue +1 67. Nebraska -1 78. Indiana -2 95. Illinois -6 100. Minnesota -8 Returning starters 1. Indiana 19 - 8 Offense, 9 Defense, 2 ST 2. Ohio State 18 - 7 Offense, 9 Defense, 2 ST 3. Michigan 16 - 7 Offense, 7 Defense, 2 ST 3. Nebraska 16 - 7 Offense, 7 Defense, 2 ST 3. Purdue 16 - 8 Offense, 7 Defense, 1 ST 6. Illinois 14 - 6 Offense, 7 Defense, 1 ST 6. Michigan State 14 - 4 Offense, 8 Defense, 2 ST 8. Minnesota 13 - 6 Offense, 5 Defense, 2 ST 9. Iowa 12 - 6 Offense, 5 Defense, 1 ST 9. Northwestern 12 - 5 Offense, 5 Defense 2 ST 9. Penn State 12 - 5 Offense, 5 Defense, 2 ST 12. Wisconsin 10 - 4 Offense, 6 Defense, 0 ST Quote Link to comment
HuskerShark Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 "Predictive trends" 2011 best case / worst case by team Wisconsin One win by one score or less, three losses. Best case: 14-0, Worst case: 10-4 I've gotta say, this one is puzzling. Why would Wisconsin be the only team in the B1G whose best case is an undefeated season?... I'm not saying it's wrong, but if Wisconsin's best case is 14-0, then so is Nebraska's, Michigan's, Michigan State's, and Ohio State's. Quote Link to comment
Excel Posted April 30, 2012 Author Share Posted April 30, 2012 Best case / Worst case is an annual feature in Phil Steele's college football preview magazine. Because it doesn't come out until early June I went ahead and figured out what it would say by using his rules; Step one: determine how many close games, within a touchdown, a team played. Step two: assume that team won every one of those close games, this is that team's best case scenario for the previous year. Step three: assume that team lost every one of those close games, this is that team's worst case scenario for the previous year. This thought experiment allows fans to indulge in a "What if my team could have scored/stopped rival x in game y?" adventure. Philosophically yes, every team's best case scenario would be to go undefeated but using these rules only Wisconsin had that as an actual "best case." By losing three close games, Michigan State, Ohio State and Oregon and then imagining that they did win those games, they'd be 14-0. Because of blowouts losses to Wisconsin, Michigan and kind of to USC, Nebraska cannot, at least in this experiment, chalk those up as wins in imagining a "best case" for last year. A similar story goes for Michigan State, Michigan and Ohio State. Not only can this just be fun to think about its also somewhat telling....lets say you blame many of your team's losses on mental errors due to inexperience in close games, then you look down and see you have a heap of starters returning...well now this experiment becomes predictive...one could venture to say that your team will do much better next year than they did last year. For example, I would say, just from those two bits of information (returning starters and best case/worst case) that both Indiana and Ohio State will do much better next year than they did this past year. Penn State and Michigan State will drop. Quote Link to comment
HuskerShark Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Gotcha. I thought this was for the 2012 football season. Quote Link to comment
Excel Posted May 4, 2012 Author Share Posted May 4, 2012 Sports Illustrated just came out with their "Post Spring" rankings today. I'm digging them... 1. LSU 2. Southern California 3. Alabama 4. Oregon 5. Oklahoma 6. Wisconsin 7. South Carolina 8. Georgia 9. West Virginia 10. Michigan State 11. TCU 12. Arkansas 13. Michigan 14. Stanford 15. Kansas State 16. Clemson 17. Florida State 18. Nebraska 19. Virginia Tech 20. Boise State 21. Texas 22. Auburn 23. Warshington 24. Oklahoma State 25. Georgia Tech Quote Link to comment
huKSer Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Sports Illustrated just came out with their "Post Spring" rankings today. I'm digging them... 1. LSU 2. Southern California 3. Alabama 4. Oregon 5. Oklahoma 6. Wisconsin 7. South Carolina 8. Georgia 9. West Virginia 10. Michigan State 11. TCU 12. Arkansas 13. Michigan 14. Stanford 15. Kansas State 16. Clemson 17. Florida State 18. Nebraska 19. Virginia Tech 20. Boise State 21. Texas 22. Auburn 23. Warshington 24. Oklahoma State 25. Georgia Tech So KSUcks move up 6 spots because Klein calls his own plays and 59 of them are passes? Quote Link to comment
Excel Posted May 4, 2012 Author Share Posted May 4, 2012 Number six is the biggest stretch up there. Second to last nationally in returning starters... Quote Link to comment
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