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Ohio State Spread


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For what it's worth, I calculated -17.5 for a spread.  I just take the highest rankings for all nine categories I track and have that serve as a theoretical team playing the worst theoretical team (with the worst rankings).  I set a dummy spread at -59.5 for the home team that has the best stats of all teams combined.  With all that expressed, I don't bet teams with the kind of turnover margin and defensive numbers our team has posted (and I still usually lose money over the course of a season).

 

Based on the conference game stats I have now, and without any adjustment for SOS, the calculated spreads for the rest of our games are (for s/g only): -7 at Illinois; +5.5 at MSU; and +7 hosting Iowa.

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