This has been one of the strangest off seasons ever for me. I have no earthly idea what to expect. Anything from 2-10 to 9-3 seems totally plausible. If the team continues with dumb penalties, turnovers, snaps flying over the QB's head... 5-7 or 6-6 seems like a reasonable ceiling. If the defense is as salty as some might think and if some of the new faces on offense (Stepp, Toure, Manning) are as advertised, I could see this team making some noise and going 9-3.
Ohio State and Oklahoma are losses. Though anything is possible, Fordham and Buffalo should be wins. That's 2-2, leaving Illinois, Mich St, NW, Mich, Minn, Purdue, Wis and Iowa which I see as a mix of 50/50 games, and probable losses.
50/50 - Illinois, Mich St, NW, Purdue, Iowa. I wouldn't be shocked if we beat any of these teams, nor would I be shocked if we lost to any of these teams. Illinois is transitioning to a new staff. Purdue and NW lost a ton of key guys. Mich St just doesn't really scare me. We've taken Iowa down to the wire for three years straight. We're due for the ball to bounce our way for a change.
Probable Loss - Mich, Minn, Wis. I hesitated on putting Minnesota in this group because I wouldn't be shocked if we beat them, but as much as it pains me to say it, Fleck has some momentum up there. Beating any of these three wouldn't shock me, but I think they just have too much horsepower for us at the moment. At best we nab a W from one of these 3.
I went with 7-5. Wins over Illinois, Fordham, Buffalo, Mich St, NW, Purdue and Iowa. The first half of the season bodes well for accumulating some W's. Starting 3-0 would be huge and is absolutely doable. I think we ride that momentum into wins against Mich St and NW, with wins against Purdue and Iowa to round out the year.