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You know still 50-50 chance to qualified CCG


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if winning out for the next three games. GO Hawkeyes ! (next weekend @ Iowa City against Spartans)

 

how is it 50-50? Michigan St. has to lose a game period and we have to win all of ours. They have Iowa, Indiana, and Northwestern. We have Penn St., Michigan, Iowa. I would say the odds are 75-25. We have a shot but very slim. We don't have any games left we say we could out right win.

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Alternates....

 

The Optimist

 

Chances of beating PSU = 0.55

Chances of beating Michigan = 0.55

Chances of beating Iowa = 0.65

Chances of Iowa beat MSU = 0.65

 

0.55 * 0.55 * 0.65 * 0.65 = 0.1278 (12.78%)

 

 

The Pessimist

 

Chances of beating PSU = 0.25

Chances of beating Michigan = 0.25

Chances of beating Iowa = 0.45

Chances of Iowa beat MSU = 0.45

 

0.25 * 0.25 * 0.45 * 0.45 = 0.0127 (1.27%)

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Chances of beating PSU = 0.45

Chances of beating Michigan = 0.45

Chances of beating Iowa = 0.55

Chances of Iowa beat MSU = 0.5

 

0.45 * 0.45 * 0.55 * 0.5 = 0.0557 (5.57%) ≠ 50%

Mr. Stat guy, you forgot a couple of key variables

 

Spartans faces Northwestern @ Chicago venue and vs. Indiana...... is given (but never know)

Wolverine faces tOSU and Illini @ Champagne

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