Saunders Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2015/9/13/9319991/alabama-ole-miss-college-football-betting-lines-2015-week-three Quote Link to comment
zoogs Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 Seems reasonable. Good. Now when we win, it will be an upset. Make no mistake, though, this will be a challenge. Quote Link to comment
HuskerExpat Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 4.5 points is way too much. 1.5 or 2 I can see, but 4.5 (or more, I'm seeing some places at 5) is insane. Quote Link to comment
Moiraine Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 4.5 points is way too much. 1.5 or 2 I can see, but 4.5 (or more, I'm seeing some places at 5) is insane. We lost a game, and didn't blow them out last year at home. We also lost 4 of our 5 best players. Not insane. Quote Link to comment
HuskerExpat Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 Uh yeah, but they have not exactly looked dominating. Their home field advantage is almost non existent. The game we lost was on a miracle play with perhaps our best defender sitting on the bench with a suspension, to a team that is now ranked 18. I don't often bet on us, but will be happy to as a 5 point (or greater) dog. Quote Link to comment
Moiraine Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 Uh yeah, but they have not exactly looked dominating. Their home field advantage is almost non existent. The game we lost was on a miracle play with perhaps our best defender sitting on the bench with a suspension, to a team that is now ranked 18. I don't often bet on us, but will be happy to as a 5 point (or greater) dog. Home field advantage isn't just about having a loud crowd. It's also about the other team not being in their own stadium. The two polls agree with this. They both have Miami with more votes than Nebraska. Quote Link to comment
HuskerExpat Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 Of course Miami has more votes in the polls. They don't have any losses and we have one, to a team that's currently ranked. That's how the stupid polls work. There are dozens of examples every year where a lower ranked team is the point spread favorite over the higher ranked team, especially early in the year. Honestly, what has Miami done that makes you think they're more than a point or two better than us? Looking flat against FAU for 2.5 quarters or blowing out a substandard FCS team? Quote Link to comment
Moiraine Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 Of course Miami has more votes in the polls. They don't have any losses and we have one, to a team that's currently ranked. That's how the stupid polls work. There are dozens of examples every year where a lower ranked team is the point spread favorite over the higher ranked team, especially early in the year. Honestly, what has Miami done that makes you think they're more than a point or two better than us? Looking flat against FAU for 2.5 quarters or blowing out a substandard FCS team? They've done the same thing as we have, which is nothing. Except people know who Bell, Abdullah, Gregory, and DPE are, and know that we lost them. Quote Link to comment
lo country Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 Figure home field is 3 points, at home we'd still be underdogs. We just need to handle our business. Quote Link to comment
HuskerExpat Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 Look at all the OL they lost last year (2 second team ACC and another starter) and then another OL with a lot of experience was kicked off the team; their RB last year is in the NFL this year and perhaps his best replacement is injured; they lost their top three receivers; and Al Golden is still the coach. TA doesn't look better this year? Do you really think our WRs, even losing K. Bell look worse this year? At least we dominated the tomato can team we played this week whereas Miami looked pretty flat against FAU for most of the game until they wore them down. Quote Link to comment
Lux Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 Oh for heavens sakes Moraine, how many of their best players are also gone?? They are not better than BYU. Quote Link to comment
Moiraine Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 Look at all the OL they lost last year (2 second team ACC and another starter) and then another OL with a lot of experience was kicked off the team; their RB last year is in the NFL this year and perhaps his best replacement is injured; they lost their top three receivers; and Al Golden is still the coach. TA doesn't look better this year? Do you really think our WRs, even losing K. Bell look worse this year? At least we dominated the tomato can team we played this week whereas Miami looked pretty flat against FAU for most of the game until they wore them down. Oh for heavens sakes Moraine, how many of their best players are also gone?? They are not better than BYU. This isn't about how we or I feel about the two teams. It's about how the average person who bets on this stuff feels. I can't name any of their linemen (the ones they lost or the ones they have). Are people betting going to care about that? They do know about the big names, though. Nationally, a large number of people knew about Abdullah and Gregory, and quite a few probably knew about Bell. They also likely don't know about our returning or new receivers except for perhaps Westerkamp. Quote Link to comment
teachercd Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 I don't know how many times I have bet against NU, I would guess 3 or less, but I think that this might be a time when I bet against them. Quote Link to comment
Judoka Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 It is still home field advantage when we have more fans present? Quote Link to comment
Saunders Posted September 13, 2015 Author Share Posted September 13, 2015 Figure home field is 3 points, at home we'd still be underdogs. We just need to handle our business. Wouldn't that make us a 1.5 point favorite at home? Quote Link to comment
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