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drfish

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  1. Here is an interesting perspective from the 1918 Spanish flu epidemic. It is even football related. page 2
  2. If you want to understand exponential growth, do this little drill. Let's say that I agree to work for you for 30 days. For wages, you will pay me 1 cent on the first day and then double it each day thereafter. Guess what the wage for day thirty is and then calculate it. NOW, the rate of infection is not doubling each day, but it is increasing. yesterday about 700, today about 900. China had 830 cases on the 23rd of January when they basically shut down Wuhan and banned travel everywhere. One month later, they had 77,000 cases. They started to deflect off of exponential growth on about the 7th of February. Exponential growth is a b!^@h. Don't panic, for certain, but PLEASE don't under-react either. Rapid, aggressive action is the ONLY tool we have now and for the immediate future.
  3. Selection 2 was the closest, but geez "Run the Damn Ball?" The Huskers were 111th out of 130 in terms of pass:run ratio. 39:61 pass:run ratio Last year was 48:52 pass:run. Ohio State was 105 (40% pass), Oklahoma 95th (41.6%), Clemson 60th (47.5%), LSU 20% (54%) for comparison. Minnesota was 115% (39.9%) and Wisconsin was 118th (37.9%) The problem is not insufficient running. The problem is inadequate line play, inadequate running back depth and inadequate WR development, leading to less decisive and less effective QB play. It is hard to call plays when nothing is working well. Fix some of the execution issues and I bet the play calling looks a lot better.
  4. Eh, maybe. I still don't think it makes as much sense as the dudes with Oregon ties.
  5. I just don't understand what would make sense about Mickey Joseph anyway. Can someone enlighten me. They ever work together. Joseph have any knowlege of the system?
  6. After no players taken last year, 1 sixth round player in 2018, 1 fifth round player in 2017, no second rounders since 2015, I am ready to see some higher draft choices.
  7. Would be nice to see a Nebraska player picked higher than the 5th round. Hell, it would be nice to see one picked.
  8. Damn! He sucked so bad he was second team all Big 10. I wish we had a whole bunch more of such suckage.
  9. IIRC, BD was not a good fit with the previous staff. Perhaps he wasn't used to hard work being optional for starters. Perhaps he wasn't used to having his defensive coaches tell the players to something else besides what BD was preaching. Perhaps he wasn't used to players who did not do what they were asked to do on purpose (I believe Mo Barry said or implied that). I would not neccessarily assume he will bomb, but I would certainly be happy if he did.
  10. This team is still having to learn lessons the hard way. The lesson from USA was that you can't take anyone lightly. The lesson from CO is you can't ever let up (should have learned vs. Northwestern last year but this team has more overconfidence. The lesson from both games is that the reason the defense was doing so much better in practice this year is that they are better, but the offense is not as good. They clearly miss Ozigbo, Farmer and Foster. The national media oversold Nebraska based largely on the UCF turnaround. The Nebraska turnaround is harder because the switch from Pelini to Riley was a bad transition, to some extent like the switch at Kansas from Mangino to Gill, though I don't think Pelini relied as heavily on shame and intimidation as Mangino did. But going from that to the nice guy you guys just do what is right coach can be a receipe for disaster. Anyway UCF 4 seasons before Frost takes over: 10-4, 9-4, 12-1, 0-12 Nebraska: 9-4, 6-7, 9-4, 4-8 NFL draft choices (rounds selected) three prior years and Frost 1st year. UCF 6th, 7th 1st, 7th 1st, 4th 3rd Frost 2nd year 1st, 3rd, 3rd, 5th Nebraska 3 prior and Frost 1st 3rd, 3rd, 4th, 6th; 5th 6th No draft choices Frost 2nd year ?? We shall see. I think you could argue he inherited more talent at UCF and played a less difficult schedule. Moos wanted to see the team go at least 6-6 and reach a bowl. Maybe he wasn't just trying to downplay expectations
  11. I was really impressed by the way that both he and Washington ran. I am not sure that I have seen that type of running other than TB early last year for a while. A couple of Ozigbo's jump cuts reminded me of AA, especially on that near TD. I also thought that was the best game the O-line played as a unit this year. That's kind of a low bar, I know.
  12. Why would offensive schemes change? Given this is the first year of a total offensive make over with a true freshman QB who didn't play his senior year in high school, playing behind an underdeveloped offensive line that can't seem to avoid holding or wiffing assignments at the worst possible time and said offense is inconsistent, yet has managed to break 550 total yards in two games? Seems like continuing to work on his normal schemes is the right choice here. You get better by practicing what you are planning to do, not by doing something else.
  13. My five. In descending order of probability: 1. Traing table staff forget to wash their hands and the entire team comes down with Norwalk virus 2 hours before kick-off. 2. Earthquake strikes Madison and swallows the the Greenbush and Vilas neighborhoods eliminating a host of Badger fans and causing the Badger team to go into shock before the game. 3. Meteor strikes Badger locker room after they finish warmups and go in for pregame talk. 4. There is a tear in the space -time continuum causing the Taylors and the offensive line to be sucked into a vortex and thrust into another dimension and leaving the team confused and bewildered. 5. It finally clicks for the Huskers and they eliminate stupid penalties and assignment miscues and look like they know WTF they are doing for a change.
  14. Random thoughts Troy, CO, and Purdue all close to each other against the run (141, 156 and 162 rushing yards per game allowed, repectively) MI clearly better at 86 per game. Bell's comments to ESPN about having "...earned the starting job and feel I have continued to work the same way but feel I am not being used to my fullest potential..." really punches the entitlement mentality card for me. It appears to imply that once the starting position was earned, it was his and did not have to be earned each week. In terms of Coaching staff communication, I think they have communicated loudly and clearly, "All in, or all out. You choose by how you practice." I don't care if the staff runs a bunch of players off if this is that attitude of the players that are leaving.
  15. Nothing like a loss to Purdue to generate a players only meeting. Hope it is as effective as the last post Purdue loss meeting.
  16. I thought Devine seemed a little more decisive that he has. He really looked good. I wondered why he was out on the 4th and 1, but...
  17. Go back and look at what HCSF said. He wasn't saying that the entire team was practicing better and harder than it had. He was saying that there were players that he hadn't really seen the kind of effort he is looking for in practice from who practiced the best he had seen them practice to date. The two unnamed receivers as well as Bell and Washington. Will we see it on the field? I hope so. It would really be nice not to have a "wisconsin scores again" game.
  18. I have been waiting for it to click. Has it? Don't know. We will know if they finally play a disciplined game against the Badgers. I don't expect a win, because the the offense is unlikely to be consistent enough at this point in the transition and neither is the defense. But, if there are no special teams penalties and there aren't huge gaffes on defense, we will likely know that it is finally clicking. We see sparks of potential greatness, but not a consistent flame. Hopefully, we will start to see that soon.
  19. As far as grades, I would give no grades yet. There is insufficient data on which to issue grades for stuff that is manifested in long term results. Remember that Nebraska was lucky to win 4 games last year with an easier schedule. The Team gets a C- on offense, a C- on defense and an F in special teams. Largely due to being next to last in penalties and penalty yards and third to last in TO margin. Random other factors Opponents have a combined 14-5 record. Clearly they should have beaten Colorado, likely would have beaten Troy, would not have beaten Michigan, and may have beaten Purdue with better performance in these areas.
  20. As a 3 point home dog to a 1-3 Purdue team. Woof.
  21. Three thoughts I have on this based on HCSF statements. 1. The "buy-in" statement last week with confirmation by Tanner Farmer and with what Mo Barry said, I think the issue is not "overall" buy in, in terms of not trusting that the coaches know what they are doing, but rather the difference between buy in to the overall scheme and the need to work harder and the knowlege of how much it really takes to get it done and then putting forth TRUE maximal effort when you think what you are giving already is maximal effort. In many ways it is hard to know this working only against yourselves. 2. It may get worse before it gets better. This should have clearly been a signal that we might be in for some problems playing the better teams in the league. 3. The coaching staff's patience is about at an end. "We got our butt whipped. Guys are either going to have to figure out how to work hard and get it fixed, or we'll move on to the next guy...that's just the fact of it is we can't keep doing the same things and expecting a different result than this."
  22. I would have to agree that, although I was quite disappointed at the loss, I can see that there is great potential. That being said, we still need a few more games to know where this team really is. Is Colorado really a good team again this year as they were when the won their division recently? Regardless, what I really noticed was the aggressiveness and physicality that seemed to be missing recently.
  23. Until they get their O-line play fixed they are going to have trouble beating good teams. We won't know how good their defense really is until after we play them cause Notre Dame doesn't play anybody of stature before then.
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