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Week 12 "Expert" Picks: Nebraska @ Michigan


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Yahoo! Sports - http://collegefootball.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=1294566

 

THE BUZZ: The Huskers make their first visit to Ann Arbor since 1962. Both still technically are in the running for the Big Ten Legends Division title, but Nebraska's hopes are more legitimate. Two of the nation's best running quarterbacks will be on view.

THE LINE: Michigan by 3.5 THE PICK: Nebraska 24 - Michigan 20

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Phil Steele - http://www.philsteele.com/Blogs/2011/Nov11/DBNov16.html

 

The last meeting was the ‘05 Alamo Bowl and Neb got the outright upset 32-28. As a player at OSU Pelini beat UM just once in 4Y. LW NU shut out the distractions to take a 17-0 lead at Happy Valley and hung on for a 17-14 win. PSU missed a 47 yd FG and had a fmbl set up a NU 48 yd TD drive but the Blackshirts were able to stop Lions RB Redd on 4&1 at the PSU37 with 1:55 left and escape. NU’s big two are QB Martinez (169, 58%, 10-7, 768 rush) and RB Burkhead (1072, 5.1). Huskers allow 180 rush ypg (4.2) in B10 play. UM handled IL 31-14 with a 362-214 yd edge. The Wolves fmbl’d at the IL 23, were SOD at the IL 1, int’d at the 21, and missed a 38 yd FG to keep IL in the gm but the key swing came early 4Q when IL’s pass was picked off at the UM37 and ret’d to the IL23 which set up the gm sealing TD. UM lost QB D-Rob (wrist) in the 3Q but he’s expected to return here. RB Toussaint (673, 5.9) has run for 170+ in 2 of the L/3 with D-Rob banged up. UM is #1 B10 rush D in conf play allowing 108 (3.5). NU does have a huge ST edge (#13-109) and the loser here is eliminated from the Legends race. Almost too close to call but I'll go with the home team.

 

PHIL’S FORECAST: MICHIGAN 24 - NEBRASKA 23

 

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CBS Sports - http://www.cbssports...rs/expert/picks

 

Dennis Dodd (M) - Bruce Feldman (N) - Brett McMurphy (M) - Tom Fornelli (M)

Jerry Hinnen (M) - Adam Jacobi (N) - Chip Patterson (M)

 

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Collegefootballnews.com - http://cfn.scout.com/2/1128960.html

 

Nebraska (8-2) at Michigan (8-2) Nov. 19, 12:00, ESPN/ESPN3

 

Here’s The Deal … In 1905, Michigan started out the season 12-0 outscoring its opponents 495-0 before losing to Chicago 2-0 in the season finale. Along the way was a 31-0 win over a Nebraska team that quickly got over the loss with a 102-0 win over Creighton. The two superpower programs have only played five times since, and while the 1986 Fiesta Bowl was interesting, this year’s battle of new Legends rivals is the biggest game of the bunch.

 

Both teams need a Michigan State loss in the final two games for the winner in Ann Arbor to have a shot at the division title. The Huskers came up with a stunning win over the Spartans two weeks ago to get in a position to take the division, only to blow it against Northwestern the following week. Now, the long, strange inaugural trip into the Big Ten is finally coming into the home stretch, and after last week, playing in front of over 100,000 Michigan fans won’t be a problem.

 

For all the discussion about what the Penn State players were going through last Saturday, the Nebraska players also had to deal with as bizarre a situation as any team has ever been put in. On the one hand, Nebraska was America’s Team, considering all the anger and outrage over Penn State as a university, but there was the emotion from the other side to deal with, facing a fired up team looking to win one for its fired coach and for themselves on Senior Day.

 

Michigan is likely out of the Big Ten title chase, needing Michigan State to lose twice and needing to beat the Huskers and Ohio State to close. No matter what happens, if the Wolverines win their final two games to finish the regular season with ten wins, the first year under Brady Hoke will be a success.

 

The two teams aren’t exactly mirror images of one another, but they both use the same form of transportation. Michigan has the nation’s 11th best rushing attack, ranking second in the Big Ten behind Wisconsin, while Nebraska is 13th in the nation. Both have hit-or-miss passing games, and both have strong enough defenses to rise up when needed and come up with a key stop. This is the start of something big, and there will be far more huge battles down the road, but this won’t be a bad start.

 

Why Nebraska Might Win: For all the excitement and all the talk over playing Nebraska, Michigan’s world revolves more around next week’s game against Ohio State in the hopes of stopping a six game losing streak. Michigan doesn’t have as much to play for, and it might show if the Huskers come out with more of a sense of urgency from the start. The Husker defensive front did a great job of holding its own against the Penn State offensive line last week and completely shut down the Nittany Lion attack for 40 minutes. The Husker line ended up allowing 166 rushing yards and two scores as Penn State was never able to establish itself like it needed to on the ground.

 

Michigan has had a turnover problem lately. Interceptions have been the norm throughout the season, but after going four games without losing a fumble, the offense has given it away three times in the last two games. Nebraska has also lost three fumbles over the last two games, but Taylor Martinez has kept the interceptions to a minimum with just one pick in the last four games. Over the last five games Nebraska has turned it over just four times, while over the same span Michigan has given it away 11 times. In a game that should be even on both sides, a +2 turnover margin could be the difference for the Huskers.

 

Why Michigan Might Win: Michigan faced a similar offense last week against Illinois, and the defensive front whipped the Illini offensive front to stuff QB Nathan Scheelhaase for 14 yards on 16 carries, finishing with three sacks and six tackles for loss. Meanwhile, the Husker defensive front has been good against power running teams with statues at quarterback, but Minnesota’s MarQueis Gray was able to roam free a bit for 67 yards and a score on 17 carries. The 1-2 punch of Ohio State’s Braxton Miller and Carlos Hyde – the starter before Dan Herron returned – combined for 195 yards and two scores with Miller averaging 9.1 yards per carry and Hyde ripping off a 63-yarder on the way to eight yards per carry. Michigan’s combination Denard Robinson and Fitzgerald Toussaint should have similar success behind a line that’s hitting its stride at the right time.

 

Michigan has more weapons. Nebraska is a true two man offense with Taylor Martinez and Rex Burkhead taking turns to see who’ll carry the ball next, while Michigan has a night-and-day better receiving corps and far better options in the backfield. The Wolverines can come at the Huskers with more of a balance and can spread the ball around a little bit, while Nebraska has one pitch, and while it throws it very well, the defense knows what’s coming.

 

What To Watch Out For: Is Denard Robinson okay? He banged up his wrist against Illinois, forcing Devin Gardner come in, but he’s expected to be able to play this week. The problem is that Denard hasn’t been himself lately, failing to break off enough big runs and not nearly being the electrifying playmaker who tore up the first half of the season. He’s leaving the highlights to Fitzgerald Toussaint, who destroyed Illinois with 192 yards and a score. Robinson’s job is to finally try to go a game without throwing a pick, and if he can tear off a few big runs, the rest of the offense should open up wide.

 

Nebraska linebacker Lavonte David might not be among the nation’s top tacklers, but he’s making meaningful stops and he’s setting the tone with big stops game in and game out. After making 24 tackles over a two game stretch, he came up with nine against Penn State including a few game-changing late hits. If his name isn’t being called often, the Michigan running game is probably rolling.

 

What Will Happen: Michigan and Nebraska do many of the same things, but Michigan does them better. The defensive front is playing better and the receiving corps is far stronger. The Husker running game will work, but Robinson and the Wolverines will get more pop out of its attack with more of a passing game to balance things out.

 

CFN Prediction: Michigan 24 - Nebraska 20

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ESPN Bloggers - http://espn.go.com/b...big-ten-week-12

 

Brian Bennett: Nebraska is playing very well, but the Huskers have been banged up on both lines and just played a very physical game at Penn State. A second straight win in a tough road spot is too much to ask. Denard Robinson bounces back with a pair of touchdown passes as Michigan helps out rival Michigan State in the Legends' race. ... Michigan 20 - Nebraska 17

 

Adam Rittenberg: Tough one to call, as plenty is at stake for both teams. Both teams can run the ball and play a little defense, but someone is going to make Michigan pay for the mistakes it makes on offense. Nebraska records three takeaways, two against Robinson, and gets a big performance from Rex Burkhead to rally for another big road victory. ... Nebraska 24 - Michigan 21

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From Gene Wojciechowski, ESPN.com:

 

14. The picks

 

LSU over Ole Miss, Oklahoma State over Iowa State, Stanford over Cal, Alabama over Georgia Southern, Boise State over San Diego State, Oregon over USC, Oklahoma over Baylor, Arkansas over Mississippi State, Clemson over North Carolina State, Virginia Tech over North Carolina, Houston over SMU, Ohio State over Penn State, Michigan State over Indiana, Georgia over Kentucky, South Carolina over The Citadel, Wisconsin over Illinois, Kansas State over Texas, Michigan over Nebraska, Southern Miss over Alabama-Birmingham, TCU over Colorado State, Notre Dame over Boston College, Florida State over Virginia.

(Last week: 13-6. BMOC regrets none of the picks except for the six I got wrong. Actually, kicking myself for not taking Mizzou over Texas. Should have known better than to trust the Longhorns. They're painfully just above average.)

 

http://espn.go.com/c...klein-bmoc-best

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Collegefootballnews has a scary and good pt......Michigan's wrs actually catch the ball so rate far, far higher than ours. Pretty hard to argue with that.

 

Otoh I'll take Tmart over Drob and Super Rex over Toussaint. Both those Michigan guys are damn fine players but ours are simply better. Yeah, due to the wrs they have more weapons but our best weapons are more lethal and you never know.....we might actually catch the ball better this week.

 

Oh boy, it's gonna be a great game!

 

GBR!!

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I wonder if any of these "Experts" know which Nebraska will show up. Our 'A' team with 3-4 quarters of Husker ball or that "other" team that has shown up so often this season. If we play up to our capabilities, this shouldn't be much of a contest. If we don't, anything is bound to happen. I guess that is what annoys me so much about this years team, I know we have the ability to do so much more than what we typically do. This should be a good one, I just hope we take their crowd out of it early. If that place gets to rockin like the ND game....Katy bar the door.

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I wonder if any of these "Experts" know which Nebraska will show up. Our 'A' team with 3-4 quarters of Husker ball or that "other" team that has shown up so often this season. If we play up to our capabilities, this shouldn't be much of a contest. If we don't, anything is bound to happen. I guess that is what annoys me so much about this years team, I know we have the ability to do so much more than what we typically do. This should be a good one, I just hope we take their crowd out of it early. If that place gets to rockin like the ND game....Katy bar the door.

 

Who knows which Michigan team will show up? They have been ever bit as inconsistent as we have been. Which Shoelace will show up? The one that torches opposing D's, or the one that throws INT after INT.

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