2020 Congressional Elections

[Moiraine]

21 minutes ago, DevoHusker said:

Kentuckians must still like Mitch. I though McGrath had a shot.

 

 

 

She's steadily been down by like 10%.

[DevoHusker]

 

[Omaha-Husker]

Bacon with ~4500 vote lead over Eastman with 85% reporting. ~7500 votes for the libertarian candidate is super interesting for this race. Those people I would assume would generally lean toward Bacon, but could easily be the difference.

[Moiraine]

Not sure which area the votes are in from. That's 48,000 votes for Trump to work with to make a comeback of the estimate is correct. Or 60% of the remaining vote. If it's west Omaha he'll probably win.

 

We projected a turnout of around 324,000 votes in Nebraska’s 2nd District, and about 276,000 have been counted there so far. So there may be something left to count there, but not a ton, given that Biden leads by around 29,000 votes there now.

[TGHusker]

One fallout from the less than stellar performance by the Dems in Congressional races is a potential challenge to San Fran Nan's leadership as Speaker of the House.   

 

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/524503-centrist-democrats-talk-leadership-changes-after-negative-election-results

Quote

 

Stung by their party’s disappointing showing at the polls Tuesday, two moderate House Democrats say they and other centrists are privately discussing a plan that was unthinkable just 24 hours earlier: throwing their support behind a challenger to Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.). 

The two Democrats told The Hill on Wednesday that they were reaching out to their colleagues about backing one of Pelosi’s top lieutenants, House Democratic Caucus Chairman Hakeem Jeffries (N.Y.), for Speaker. 

“He’s the only one prepared and positioned” to be Speaker, said one of the Democratic lawmakers. “He bridges moderates and progressives better than anyone. And most importantly, he’s not Nancy Pelosi.”

 

 

[BigRedBuster]

I'm actually shocked at how little is being talked about with the Senate.

 

So....how is it looking?  I can't hardly find anything on any of the networks other than they say the Dems didn't take it.  Am I right that it looks like the Republicans will have a 1 vote majority?

[Moiraine]

15 minutes ago, BigRedBuster said:

I'm actually shocked at how little is being talked about with the Senate.

 

So....how is it looking?  I can't hardly find anything on any of the networks other than they say the Dems didn't take it.  Am I right that it looks like the Republicans will have a 1 vote majority?

 

I think 51-49. Democrats need to do some work for 2022.

[TGHusker]

Surprising result of the congressional races -  Election of GOP women to congress.  This at a time when polls predicted that the female vote was turning hard against Trump and the GOP.  I am surprised by this outcome. 

 

 

 

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/nov/5/nancy-pelosi-receives-stunning-blow-female-republi/

Quote

 

Republican women were among the biggest winners of Tuesday’s balloting, breaking a record for House non-incumbent victories and closing in on the all-time high for the chamber.

The 11 Republican women seeking another House term were all reelected, and another dozen candidates were elected for the first time to the House. Eleven additional House races featuring GOP women had yet to be called, according to the Center for American Women in Politics.

The center said that “Republican women have already set a new record for non-incumbent U.S. House winners, with 12 women elected in 2020 so far, surpassing the previous record of 9, set in 2010.”

“As of now there are 11 undecided House races featuring a non-incumbent Republican woman candidate and 17 undecided House races featuring a non-incumbent Democratic woman candidate,” said the center at 5:15 p.m. EDT Wednesday.

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy said he expected the number of GOP women to break their previous record, which was 25 in the 2004 election, telling Politico it was “the night of Republican women.”

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“The Republican Party is about to have more GOP women in Congress than in the entire history of the United States,” tweeted Mr. McCarthy.

Marjorie Dannenfelser, president of the Susan B. Anthony List, called it “a resounding victory for pro-life women everywhere.” Most Republican women running for Congress are pro-life.

“The surge of victorious pro-life women candidates in the U.S. House is a stunning blow to Nancy Pelosi and her pro-abortion agenda,” said Ms. Dannenfelser. “So far, we have more than doubled the number of pro-life women in the House, with more races to be called. Seven pro-life women candidates flipped pro-abortion Democrat-held seats.”

 

Quote

 

On the Senate side, former Republican Rep. Cynthia Lummis won the Wyoming Senate contest to succeed retiring Sen. Mike Enzi, while Sen. Martha McSally, Arizona Republican, lost her race against Democrat Mark Kelly.

That will keep the number of GOP women in the Senate at eight after Tuesday reelection victories for Republican Sens. Joni Ernst of Iowa, Shelley Moore Capito of West Virginia, and Cindy Hyde-Smith of Mississippi.

Sen. Kelly Loeffler, Georgia Republican, finished in the top two in Tuesday’s Senate primary and faces a Jan. 5 run-off election against Democrat Raphael Warnock.

“We are ‘all in’ for Senator Kelly Loeffler’s runoff race in January and confident she will prevail,” said Ms. Dannenfelser in a statement.

She said seven of the newly elected pro-life women flipped Democratic seats, including Republican Maria Salazar of Florida, who defeated Democratic Rep. Donna Shalala after losing to her in 2018.

The other 12 newbie House Republican candidates winning their races were Yvette Herrell of New Mexico; Michelle Fischbach of Minnesota; Nancy Mace of South Carolina; Stephanie Bice of Oklahoma; Ashley Hinson of Iowa; Lauren Boebert of Colorado; Lisa McClain of Michigan; Kat Cammack of Florida; Diana Harshbarger of Tennessee; Mary Miller of Illinois, and Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia.

Another candidate, New York Republican Nicole Malliotokis, led Democratic Rep. Max Rose by 58% to 42%, according to the Associated Press.

In still-undecided House races, six of the eight Republican female candidates led their contests with all or most of the vote counted.

They included Claudia Tenney, who lost her New York congressional seat in the 2018 Democratic wave but led Democratic Rep. Anthony Brindisi by 55% to 43% with 100% of the vote counted, pending the counting of absentee ballots.

The Center for American Women in Politics said 36 were in the House freshman class in 2019, which was a record. Only one was a Republican.

“With 22 House wins so far, Republican women are poised to recover the ground they lost in 2018 and could break their record of 25 House members, set in 2006, if four more Republican women win their races,” said the center.

CAWP director Debbie Walsh said that “Successes like these don’t just happen.”

 

 

[Moiraine]

5 minutes ago, TGHusker said:

Surprising result of the congressional races -  Election of GOP women to congress.  This at a time when polls predicted that the female vote was turning hard against Trump and the GOP.  I am surprised by this outcome. 

 

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/nov/5/nancy-pelosi-receives-stunning-blow-female-republi/

 

 

 

 

 

It may still have done that, I haven't looked at any numbers. And I don't know how much the parties help decide who the candidate is, I know they support some more than others. But they may have made a concerted effort to support more women because they knew they had a problem with women. One big problem when it comes to women in politics is fewer run than men.


And this is a bit of a segue but throughout Eastman's campaign and the PAC campaigns for her, I felt the DNC and those PACs didn't know what they were doing. If you are a Democrat in Nebraska you don't cut an ad talking about you support for Planned Parenthood. That just isn't something you run on here. You also fight back harder against the perception Eastman is a socialist, or you try not to let a progressive through in the first place. There are areas, like Nebraska, where Democrats need to do what they can to get someone in Congress who is less conservative, even if they are centrists.

[TGHusker]

Just now, Moiraine said:

 

 

 

It may still have done that, I haven't looked at any numbers. And I don't know how much the parties help decide who the candidate is, I know they support some more than others. But they may have made a concerted effort to support more women because they knew they had a problem with women. One big problem when it comes to women in politics is fewer run than men.

Perhaps with more women we might see a more compassionate side of the GOP - hope so.  Regardless it is great to see this as we need more women to be a part of the process regardless of party. 

[RedDenver]

15 minutes ago, Moiraine said:

And this is a bit of a segue but throughout Eastman's campaign and the PAC campaigns for her, I felt the DNC and those PACs didn't know what they were doing. If you are a Democrat in Nebraska you don't cut an ad talking about you support for Planned Parenthood. That just isn't something you run on here. You also fight back harder against the perception Eastman is a socialist, or you try not to let a progressive through in the first place. There are areas, like Nebraska, where Democrats need to do what they can to get someone in Congress who is less conservative, even if they are centrists.

The Dems tried real hard to not let Eastman through. Her Dem primary opponent even campaigned against her in the general election.

 

So while Eastman might not be an ideal candidate, it's hard to side with the "moderate"/corporate part of the party that actively helped the Repub candidate. I hope people remember that when progressives don't side with the corporate side of the party in the next elections.

[Moiraine]

15 minutes ago, RedDenver said:

The Dems tried real hard to not let Eastman through. Her Dem primary opponent even campaigned against her in the general election.

 

So while Eastman might not be an ideal candidate, it's hard to side with the "moderate"/corporate part of the party that actively helped the Repub candidate. I hope people remember that when progressives don't side with the corporate side of the party in the next elections.

 

 

Ya, that was a douche move. But I would say even if the DNC became more progressive or a new progressive party rose up in its place, their message should attempt to cater to the state they're in. When they actually get to policy they can go more left. That's what politicians do and just hope people don't pay enough attention. You can be pro choice and not advertise it over and over in Nebraska.

[RedDenver]

10 minutes ago, Moiraine said:

 

 

Ya, that was a douche move. But I would say even if the DNC became more progressive or a new progressive party rose up in its place, their message should attempt to cater to the state they're in. When they actually get to policy they can go more left. That's what politicians do and just hope people don't pay enough attention. You can be pro choice and not advertise it over and over in Nebraska.

Sure, but I'd actually be surprised if pro-choice was the minority position in Omaha.

[DevoHusker]

 

[DevoHusker]

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/525793-pelosi-faces-caucus-divisions-in-biden-era?userid=567966

 

For Speaker Nancy Pelosi, her final years with the gavel may also prove the most challenging.

The California Democrat is poised to enter the next Congress with a historically thin House majority, one in which the progressive and centrist factions are already bashing each other publicly at a time when President-elect Joe Biden is seeking national unity.

The internal squabbling has raised early questions about the direction of the party, the trust in its leadership team and the fate of an ambitious legislative agenda that may quickly face headwinds within a restive House majority featuring little room for defections.