Betting Huskers/Ducks

[huskerfan92]

you can see what the duck fans think of the betting line in this thread http://www.ducksattack.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=25501&start=30

 

here is my favorite post from there

"I'm guess Vegas didn't do much research. If they actually sat down and watched both games I'd put the Ducks at +14 (Since I have no clue about betting terminology I'm stating Ducks win by two touchdowns). And honestly, I don't think this one is even going to be that close. Until we clear the benches Ducks 44 Cornhuskers 14 going into the 4th.

Worry about Stanford, worry about Washington, worry about USC, but don't sweat Nebraska at all."

 

"Vegas didn't do much research, but I have no clue about betting terminology" this guy.....

[HuskerMav11]

 

 

Looks like Nebraska opened as 1 point favorites and moved to 2.5 or 3 points currently. Could not find an O/U line yet.

 

I also think there will be a ton of points scored but I'm sure Vegas will set the o/u line very high accordingly. My guess would be mid to upper 70's.

 

So #33 Nebraska is favored by 3 points over #22 Oregon? Seems like something is wrong with this—either the ratings or the Vegas line. :

 

Vegas doesn't care about rankings and are usually more accurate than the rankings. Also have to remember @ Nebraska gives us 3 points for being at home.....so they feel at the moment it is a toss up game

 

 

Do some research on home-field underdogs. Back in 1980-2001, HFUD covered the spread nearly 54% of the time. Since then, it appears an over-correction was made, and from 2004-2012, HFUDs covered only 47% of the time.

[TAKODA]

 

 

 

Looks like Nebraska opened as 1 point favorites and moved to 2.5 or 3 points currently. Could not find an O/U line yet.

I also think there will be a ton of points scored but I'm sure Vegas will set the o/u line very high accordingly. My guess would be mid to upper 70's.

 

So #33 Nebraska is favored by 3 points over #22 Oregon? Seems like something is wrong with this—either the ratings or the Vegas line. :

Vegas doesn't care about rankings and are usually more accurate than the rankings. Also have to remember @ Nebraska gives us 3 points for being at home.....so they feel at the moment it is a toss up game

Do some research on home-field underdogs. Back in 1980-2001, HFUD covered the spread nearly 54% of the time. Since then, it appears an over-correction was made, and from 2004-2012, HFUDs covered only 47% of the time.

HuskerMav, how is this relavent to this game? We are home and favored!

[MichiganDad3]

What is the weather forecast? Does high wind favor Oregon or the Huskers? What about rain?

[Blackshirt96]

What is the weather forecast? Does high wind favor Oregon or the Huskers? What about rain?

IMO High wind is good for NU & Rain is good for Oregon. Either way I thinks its going to be sunny & 70 with little wind.

[Blackshirt96]

"That's exactly right, the only dynasty right now is Bama, not the Buckeyes, not the canes, not the Sooners, not the horns, not the Wolverines........ But the Ducks have reached the level and passed of everyone I mentioned except Bama. Ducks will be fine."

 

This post kills me. He actually claimed to be closer to a dynasty then some of the greatest programs of all-time.

[teachercd]

I don't know who I will bet yet, I hardly ever bet against the Huskers...but it is an attractive line if you are a Duck fan.

 

I might just do the overs come Saturday.

 

If this was a Chip Kelly coached team I would be all over Oregon this weekend.

 

But Riley has also never shown me a reason to think that he would win a game like this as a favorite. Let me stress this...AS A FAVORITE.

[TAKODA]

 

 

 

I want us to win, I want us to win, I want us to win, I want us to win, I want us to win, I want us to win, I want us to win.

[commando]

I don't know who I will bet yet, I hardly ever bet against the Huskers...but it is an attractive line if you are a Duck fan.

 

I might just do the overs come Saturday.

 

If this was a Chip Kelly coached team I would be all over Oregon this weekend.

 

But Riley has also never shown me a reason to think that he would win a game like this as a favorite. Let me stress this...AS A FAVORITE.

has he ever been the favorite in a game like this?

[teachercd]

 

I don't know who I will bet yet, I hardly ever bet against the Huskers...but it is an attractive line if you are a Duck fan.

 

I might just do the overs come Saturday.

 

If this was a Chip Kelly coached team I would be all over Oregon this weekend.

 

But Riley has also never shown me a reason to think that he would win a game like this as a favorite. Let me stress this...AS A FAVORITE.

has he ever been the favorite in a game like this?

 

Well...BYU was similar last year in terms of line and ranking...I think BYU was fringe top 25 and The Ducks are like 22

But Riley just strikes me as being better as the dog and I don't have betting trends to back that up it just seems that way.

[Red Five]

[RedDenver]

I'm not familiar with the ins and outs of betting. What does this mean?

[teachercd]

 

I'm not familiar with the ins and outs of betting. What does this mean?

 

It means that people keep betting on NU...so that line will keep getting bigger. Went from -2, -2.5 and now -3.5

[RedDenver]

 

 

I'm not familiar with the ins and outs of betting. What does this mean?

 

It means that people keep betting on NU...so that line will keep getting bigger. Went from -2, -2.5 and now -3.5

 

Thanks.

[Blackshirt96]

 

I'm not familiar with the ins and outs of betting. What does this mean?

 

Here is an example of sharp money line movement,

If the Patriots are receiving 80% of spread bets as a 14-point favorite against the Dolphins, you would expect the line to move to -14.5 or -15. If the line drops (to say, -13.5) it is a sure sign that sharp money, or large wagers made by single individuals or betting syndicates, has come in on the Dolphins. You would immediately want to search for a sportsbook offering Miami +14 and quickly get down.

 

So basically a large bet or bets came in on NU & they are trying to even it out by raising the line.