olddominionhusker Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 I’m pretty much in line with Moraine here. 5-7 with one more loss to OSU in a game that will be closer then many expect. I will be betting on Nebraska on the money line in every remaining game they are the underdog except OSU where I will take the points. In the Ilinois and BC games I’ll be laying the points. Quote Link to comment
cheekygeek Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 4 hours ago, Moiraine said: Yes. There are 52 teams with 5+ wins. 4 of them are smarter than us. There are 75 teams with 4+ wins. 8 of them are smarter than us. The 8 that are smarter than us are of no consequence unless they are tied with Nebraska at 5 (or 6) wins at the end of the season. But the fact that there are 127 teams with 5+ wins almost surely means that there will be the 78 with 6+ to fill the bowls without calling on a 5 win team. Quote Link to comment
Moiraine Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, cheekygeek said: The 8 that are smarter than us are of no consequence unless they are tied with Nebraska at 5 (or 6) wins at the end of the season. But the fact that there are 127 teams with 5+ wins almost surely means that there will be the 78 with 6+ to fill the bowls without calling on a 5 win team. It’s not 127. 52 have 5+, 75 have 4+ All of the 52 teams with 5+ also have 4+. I know that the 8 teams don’t matter if they don’t get to 5. Neither do any dumber teams that don’t get to 6. Quote Link to comment
Making Chimichangas Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 7 hours ago, Guy Chamberlin said: Just confirming: our dream scenario is to replicate Mike Riley's first season. (don't hurt me! but it's true.) All about perspective. After starting 0-6...finishing 5-7 would be a major accomplishment. Quote Link to comment
ScottyIce Posted October 24, 2018 Author Share Posted October 24, 2018 1 hour ago, cheekygeek said: The 8 that are smarter than us are of no consequence unless they are tied with Nebraska at 5 (or 6) wins at the end of the season. But the fact that there are 127 teams with 5+ wins almost surely means that there will be the 78 with 6+ to fill the bowls without calling on a 5 win team. I don’t believe they take into consideration APR at 6 wins. 1 hour ago, cheekygeek said: The 8 that are smarter than us are of no consequence unless they are tied with Nebraska at 5 (or 6) wins at the end of the season. But the fact that there are 127 teams with 5+ wins almost surely means that there will be the 78 with 6+ to fill the bowls without calling on a 5 win team. Also, there are not 127 teams with 5+ wins already. Quote Link to comment
HuskerMoon Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 I just want to mention we have won exactly one (1) Football game and you people are talking about beating one of the better teams in the country that happened to have a bad night? Sure we can score points, and we have proven we can score a lot of points on some bad defenses. Heck, once this season we even scored enough to win. I have a few questions in light of this lofty "hypothetical" prognostication . What makes you think we are going to show up in Columbus and play the kind of DEFENSE it takes to win? Where is the consistent pressure and pass coverage going to come from that gets us to even hang in that game? Are the front three going to miracle themselves in the back field, or are we just going to blitz the linebackers all the time and get torched on nickel and dime pickups? Finally, I sure hope don't have to rely on special teams for anything too important like a decent return or game winning fieldgoal, because I think we might be up turd creek if we do... But I sure hope my cynicism is unwarranted and that I'm wrong. I'll be happy to eat my words! Quote Link to comment
Moiraine Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 1 hour ago, HuskerMoon said: I just want to mention we have won exactly one (1) Football game and you people are talking about beating one of the better teams in the country that happened to have a bad night? Sure we can score points, and we have proven we can score a lot of points on some bad defenses. Heck, once this season we even scored enough to win. I have a few questions in light of this lofty "hypothetical" prognostication . What makes you think we are going to show up in Columbus and play the kind of DEFENSE it takes to win? Where is the consistent pressure and pass coverage going to come from that gets us to even hang in that game? Are the front three going to miracle themselves in the back field, or are we just going to blitz the linebackers all the time and get torched on nickel and dime pickups? Finally, I sure hope don't have to rely on special teams for anything too important like a decent return or game winning fieldgoal, because I think we might be up turd creek if we do... But I sure hope my cynicism is unwarranted and that I'm wrong. I'll be happy to eat my words! Apparently you don’t get the point of this topic. Quote Link to comment
HuskerMoon Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 I get it. Just not biting. Quote Link to comment
The Dude Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 21 hours ago, ScottyIce said: You guessed it, IT'S TIME TO GET HYPOTHETICAL!!!!!!!!!!! Let's pretend we win this weekend, we jump to 2-6 overall. We roll into Columbus on a cool November morning and take down the "champs." We are now 3-6. Do you then believe we will win out and go 6-6 to qualify for a bowl game? Remaining foes would be Illinois, Michigan State and @ Iowa. No. Quote Link to comment
Nebfanatic Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 11 hours ago, HuskerMoon said: I just want to mention we have won exactly one (1) Football game and you people are talking about beating one of the better teams in the country that happened to have a bad night? Sure we can score points, and we have proven we can score a lot of points on some bad defenses. Heck, once this season we even scored enough to win. I have a few questions in light of this lofty "hypothetical" prognostication . What makes you think we are going to show up in Columbus and play the kind of DEFENSE it takes to win? Where is the consistent pressure and pass coverage going to come from that gets us to even hang in that game? Are the front three going to miracle themselves in the back field, or are we just going to blitz the linebackers all the time and get torched on nickel and dime pickups? Finally, I sure hope don't have to rely on special teams for anything too important like a decent return or game winning fieldgoal, because I think we might be up turd creek if we do... But I sure hope my cynicism is unwarranted and that I'm wrong. I'll be happy to eat my words! This is a place where fans gather and discuss ridiculous scenarios. Obviously everyone knows beating OSU isn't likely, but at the same time anything can happen especially with this staff. You may have marked that game off as a loss already, Mike Riley would probably be saying "aw shucks guys I don't know about this one" but Scott Frost expects to win every football game so I have hope. Quote Link to comment
HuskerMoon Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 I haven't marked it as anything. It's 11 on 11, there is always a chance. It's just not very likely. I'm going on 19 years of counting chickens before the eggs hatch. So now that we are finally rock bottom, I want to see tangible progress before I put stock in optomism. Even the hypothetical isn't much fun when we are in this state. Minnesota is a star t, and yes there is finally marginal progress. There is just a lot of getting ahead of ourselves out there in Huskerland. 1 Quote Link to comment
dvdcrr Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 heck Iowa is the bowl game. Get a good W. 1 Quote Link to comment
Moiraine Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 I looked a bit more. There are 78 spots. There are currently 81 teams that need <= 2 more wins to become bowl eligible or get to 5 wins and are ahead of us in APR. We'll need a lot of luck but some of those teams have tough schedules left. E.g. FSU is 4-3 and has Clemson, NC State, Notre Dame, Boston College, and Florida. On the other hand, some of the 3 win teams will win 3 more games. 1 Quote Link to comment
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