Redux Posted May 20, 2016 Share Posted May 20, 2016 Worst case I don't want to see more than 4 losses in year 2. (NOTE: THAT DOES NOT MEAN I AM SETTLING, JUST SETTING A BAR THAT THE PREVIOUS REGIME SET IN STONE) Quote Link to comment
funhusker Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 Fresno - Win (Should be comfortably, but wouldn't be surprised it the first game of the year is a little shaky)Wyoming - Win Oregon - Toss-up (I think the Huskers lose, but there is a real chance they don't. The hype and home stadium make it a toss up)@NW - Toss-upIllinois - Win @IU - Toss-upPurdue - Win@Wisconsin - Toss-up@Ohio State - LossMinnesota - WinMaryland - Win @Iowa - Loss6 "wins" 2 "losses" 4 "toss-ups" (Oregon is likely loss, Wisconsin is likely loss, I"m not even very comfortable with NW as a toss-up) If I put a number out, I'd say 7-5 is likely. 8-4 best case, 5-7 worst case. Quote Link to comment
Kiyoat Husker Posted May 21, 2016 Author Share Posted May 21, 2016 Fresno - Win (Should be comfortably, but wouldn't be surprised it the first game of the year is a little shaky) Wyoming - Win Oregon - Toss-up (I think the Huskers lose, but there is a real chance they don't. The hype and home stadium make it a toss up) @NW - Toss-up Illinois - Win @IU - Toss-up Purdue - Win @Wisconsin - Toss-up @Ohio State - Loss Minnesota - Win Maryland - Win @Iowa - Loss 6 "wins" 2 "losses" 4 "toss-ups" (Oregon is likely loss, Wisconsin is likely loss, I"m not even very comfortable with NW as a toss-up) If I put a number out, I'd say 7-5 is likely. 8-4 best case, 5-7 worst case. This is why I did this exercise. You are saying worst to best case scenario is 5 to 8 wins, but when you actually put pen to paper (so to speak) game by game, you actually came up with 6 to 10 wins. (Average 8) don't you see it? Quote Link to comment
funhusker Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 Fresno - Win (Should be comfortably, but wouldn't be surprised it the first game of the year is a little shaky) Wyoming - Win Oregon - Toss-up (I think the Huskers lose, but there is a real chance they don't. The hype and home stadium make it a toss up) @NW - Toss-up Illinois - Win @IU - Toss-up Purdue - Win @Wisconsin - Toss-up @Ohio State - Loss Minnesota - Win Maryland - Win @Iowa - Loss 6 "wins" 2 "losses" 4 "toss-ups" (Oregon is likely loss, Wisconsin is likely loss, I"m not even very comfortable with NW as a toss-up) If I put a number out, I'd say 7-5 is likely. 8-4 best case, 5-7 worst case. This is why I did this exercise. You are saying worst to best case scenario is 5 to 8 wins, but when you actually put pen to paper (so to speak) game by game, you actually came up with 6 to 10 wins. (Average 8) don't you see it? I actually only came up with 6 or 7 wins when I put "pen to paper". Which would be in line with my 5 to 8 wins: median of 6.5 I don't think Nebraska will win 10 games next year, or 9 even. They will most likely lose 3 of the 4 "toss ups" in my opinion. Best case is they split them, worst case is they lose all of them plus a game that should definitely be a win. Eight wins isn't my "average", it is best case in my judgement. Quote Link to comment
teachercd Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 I feel like we are going to get to the point where we are applauding Riley and his 7 or 8 wins a year. 2 Quote Link to comment
Kiyoat Husker Posted May 21, 2016 Author Share Posted May 21, 2016 I actually only came up with 6 or 7 wins when I put "pen to paper". Which would be in line with my 5 to 8 wins: median of 6.5 I don't think Nebraska will win 10 games next year, or 9 even. They will most likely lose 3 of the 4 "toss ups" in my opinion. Best case is they split them, worst case is they lose all of them plus a game that should definitely be a win. Eight wins isn't my "average", it is best case in my judgement. Well they are your picks so they only need to make sense to you. To me, winning half of the toss ups would be an average expectation. Quote Link to comment
theknife Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 Fresno - Win Wyoming - Win Oregon - Toss up@NW- WinIllinois - Win @IU - Win Purdue - Win.@Wisconsin - Toss up@Ohio State - LossMinnesota - WinMaryland - Win@Iowa - Toss up I predict an 8-4 regular season and anything less is a major concern. On the offensive side, if the coaches can utilize Tommy like they did in the spring and the offensive line comes along, we have stable of capable backs, one of the top WR units in the Big 10, and Carter full of potential at TE. On defense, although very green, a lot of young talent at DE and DT, plus a senior in Maurice. LBs look to be loaded, so no worries there. At corner it seems we have two solid guys, so if Lamar Jackson and anyone else can set up for the nickel and dime spots, we will be ok there. Safeties seem solid as well. Quote Link to comment
GBRFAN Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 I feel like we are going to get to the point where we are applauding Riley and his 7 or 8 wins a year. I feel like your number will be 2 or 3 higher. Quote Link to comment
funhusker Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 I actually only came up with 6 or 7 wins when I put "pen to paper". Which would be in line with my 5 to 8 wins: median of 6.5 I don't think Nebraska will win 10 games next year, or 9 even. They will most likely lose 3 of the 4 "toss ups" in my opinion. Best case is they split them, worst case is they lose all of them plus a game that should definitely be a win. Eight wins isn't my "average", it is best case in my judgement. Well they are your picks so they only need to make sense to you. To me, winning half of the toss ups would be an average expectation. Yeah, I get what you're saying. I say "best case" is winning half of the toss ups, Riley and his staff didn't do anything last year to make me think they will do better. Yes, they are recruiting their tails off, but "their" players will either be true freshmen or not even on campus. I'm bracing myself for a small improvement from last year's record, if there is one at all.... Trust me, I'm rooting against my own predictions Quote Link to comment
Waldo Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 *note: ^ that is best case scenario. I think we go 9-3 on the year.I honestly laughed out loud. Why do people think we do anything better than .500?Reading is hard...I stopped reading after 52-13. Quote Link to comment
dvdcrr Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 Here is how its gonna end up. All of mine are W or L because "toss up" is not a valid result: Fresno W Wyoming W Oregon L @ Northwestern L Illinois W @ Indiana W Purdue W @ Wisconsin L @ tOSU L Minnesota W Maryland W @ Iowa L 1 Quote Link to comment
dvdcrr Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 "Total season win expectation: 7.7" So if you win 0.7 of a game that would still be a loss right? Don't you have to win the whole (1.0) game? Quote Link to comment
JJkinz Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 Fresno W - Win easyWyoming W - Win easyOregon L - Pass defense does great, but Royce Freeman runs all over us. Oregon wins a shootout.@ Northwestern L - Pass defense does great, but Justin Jackson runs all over us. Northwestern wins a shootout.Illinois W - Win easy@ Indiana L - Pass defense finally gets exposed. Indiana wins a shootout.Purdue W - Win easy@ Wisconsin L - Pass defense does great, but Corey Clement runs all over us. Wisconsin wins a shootout.@ tOSU L - OSU wins about 28-10Minnesota W - Win easyMaryland W - We barely squeak out a win.@ Iowa L - Iowa wins in a blowout. Final: 6-6 Quote Link to comment
ADS Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 Fresno W - Win easy Wyoming W - Win easy Oregon L - Pass defense does great, but Royce Freeman runs all over us. Oregon wins a shootout. @ Northwestern L - Pass defense does great, but Justin Jackson runs all over us. Northwestern wins a shootout. Illinois W - Win easy @ Indiana L - Pass defense finally gets exposed. Indiana wins a shootout. Purdue W - Win easy @ Wisconsin L - Pass defense does great, but Corey Clement runs all over us. Wisconsin wins a shootout. @ tOSU L - OSU wins about 28-10 Minnesota W - Win easy Maryland W - We barely squeak out a win. @ Iowa L - Iowa wins in a blowout. Final: 6-6 When did any back run all over us last year? Quote Link to comment
suh_fan93 Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 I have no idea how these guys will do. Way to many variables. Quote Link to comment
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