Saunders Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 2017 Game 8 “Expert” Picks: Nebraska at Purdue————— CollegeFootballNews.comhttp://collegefootballnews.com/2017/10/nebraska-purdue-prediction-game-preview There’s still time to save this, Nebraska – at least somewhat. The chance to win the Big Ten title might be reasonably gone, but there’s a shot at redemption over the second half of the season. Win this, win at home against Northwestern, and then split against Minnesota and Iowa – or, in a perfect world, shock Penn State in Happy Valley – and at least it’ll be a bowl season. Purdue is also 3-4, and it also has a manageable schedule over the finishing kick – the road game at Iowa is probably the toughest remaining game. But the Boilermakers are playing with house money at this point. The program is on the uptick under Jeff Brohm, and there’s a sign of life again after so many years of ugliness. But there’s been a slide with three losses in the last four games. It’s just the sixth game between the two schools. Purdue won the first time around in 1958, but the Huskers have won three of the four meetings since Nebraska joined the Big Ten. One Reason Why Purdue Will Win Purdue has to win the turnover margin. The defense hasn’t been great at getting into the backfield, but it’s among the best in the Big Ten at forcing takeaways. Winning the turnover battle doesn’t guarantee anything with the Boilermakers – they were a -2 in the loss to Rutgers last week, and in the win over Minnesota a few weeks ago – but the D has come up with nine picks on the year including three of Lamar Jackson and five over the last three games. Tanner Lee has been better. The Husker quarterback has only thrown two interceptions over the last three games, but he’s still cranked up 11 on the season and should be good for at least one big mistake. Purdue has to capitalize on everything, because … One Reason Why Nebraska Will Win The Boilermaker offense has stopped scoring. The yards are there – the O cranked up 474 yards against Rutgers – but they aren’t leading to points. The Boilermakers only scored 12 points in the loss to the Scarlet Knights, scored nine in the loss to Wisconsin, and scored ten in the loss to Michigan. Nebraska’s defense had problems against Wisconsin and Ohio State, but it’s been fine when it hasn’t had to deal with an elite offense. With two weeks off to get ready, it should be able to handle a Purdue running game that doesn’t rely on power and isn’t getting too much of a push up front. Nebraska can be powered on, and it’ll have problems against teams that can push the ball deep. Purdue can’t do either one. What’s Going To Happen Will the time off do the Huskers any good? Purdue might not be scoring in bunches, but neither is Nebraska. The loss of RB Tre Bryant to a knee injury takes away another option from a Husker ground attack that wasn’t lighting the world on fire to begin with. That means even more of the offense will fall on Lee’s shoulders, and that means more passes, and that means a few picks for the Boilermakers to turn into points. Don’t expect anything wacky – this certainly won’t be the 55-44 fun show-Boilermaker win the last time these two met in West Lafayette in 2015 – but after losing to Rutgers, Purdue will happily take the win after going +2 in turnover margin. Purdue 23 - Nebraska 17 —————BTN.comhttp://btn.com/2017/10/25/polls-its-time-to-pick-your-week-9-big-ten-football-winners-3/ Tom Dienhart: Purdue 24 - Nebraska 21 ————— ESPN FPIhttp://www.espn.com/college-football/game?gameId=400935395 Purdue - 59.0% Win —————Bill Connelly S&P+https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2017/10/26/16552124/college-football-picks-week-9-2017-predictions-odds-spreads S&P+: Purdue 30 - Nebraska 23 (66.7% Purdue Win) F+ Projection: Purdue by 17 (82.9% Purdue Win) Adjusted S&P+: Nebraska by 15.1 (80.9% Nebraska Win) ————— Athlon Sportshttps://athlonsports.com/college-football/college-football-picks-expert-predictions-every-game-week-9-2017 Steven Lassan: P Mitch Light: P Bryan Fischer: N —————Big Red Wrap-Uphttp://netnebraska.org/interactive-multimedia/sports/big-red-wrap-purdue-prediction-3 Kevin Kugler: Nebraska 28 - Purdue 17 Jar Foreman: Nebraska 27 - Purdue 24 Sea Callahan: Nebraska 27 - Purdue 23 ————— Daily Nebraskanhttp://www.dailynebraskan.com/sports/football-score-predictions-nebraska-at-purdue/article_bc71b838-b79a-11e7-b927-ef60f8a42203.html Greg Harmon: Nebraska 28 - Purdue 24 Zach Markon: Nebraska 24 - Purdue 17 Anna Gleason: Nebraska 17 - Purdue 10 ————— 2 Quote Link to comment
Isle of View Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 (edited) *** 2016 Game 8 "Expert" Picks: Nebraska at Purdue *** I picked Huskers by multiple scores. It was 27-14. Edited October 26, 2017 by Isle of View Quote Link to comment
Roll Skers Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 Purdue's offense will look like Alabama 1 Quote Link to comment
swmohusker Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 Pretty depressing seeing most of the national guys picking Purdue to win. Not that I think they are wrong, but this program is going the wrong direction. I see the Huskers winning a close game 31-28 Quote Link to comment
brophog Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 4 minutes ago, swmohusker said: Pretty depressing seeing most of the national guys picking Purdue to win. Most national guys don't have the time to watch all of these games, so they tend to be very chalk heavy and easily influenced by the final score. They're really not worth paying attention to for that reason. Admittedly, the local guys have a lot of bias, but it can be interesting to turn that on its head and watch/listen/read the opposing teams local guys. 38 minutes ago, skers44 said: Purdue's offense will look like Alabama I didn't know Bama fan that many trick plays. Quote Link to comment
Warrior Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 Coin flip made my decision... My coins like Purdue too. SMH Quote Link to comment
YellowShirt Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 I wish we played like we had nothing to lose and blitzed a ton, press with Jones and let Stille tee off. But I think I’ll be disappointed and we will get shredded for 400 yards passing. Too many gaps on D to be aggressive they say.... Quote Link to comment
Roll Skers Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 1 hour ago, JimmyBuckets said: I wish we played like we had nothing to lose and blitzed a ton, press with Jones and let Stille tee off. But I think I’ll be disappointed and we will get shredded for 400 yards passing. Too many gaps on D to be aggressive they say.... this. Diaco just needs to be aggressive, but we will drop 7/8 and get torched. Purdon't will be motivated after almost beating us last year, plus a night game Quote Link to comment
RedDenver Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 Bill Connelly's advanced stats predictions are all over the map: Bill Connelly S&P+https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2017/10/26/16552124/college-football-picks-week-9-2017-predictions-odds-spreads S&P+: Purdue 30 - Nebraska 23 (66.7% Purdue Win) F+ Projection: Purdue by 17 (82.9% Purdue Win) Adjusted S&P+: Nebraska by 15.1 (80.9% Nebraska Win) Quote Link to comment
Saunders Posted October 26, 2017 Author Share Posted October 26, 2017 21 minutes ago, RedDenver said: Bill Connelly's advanced stats predictions are all over the map: Bill Connelly S&P+https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2017/10/26/16552124/college-football-picks-week-9-2017-predictions-odds-spreads S&P+: Purdue 30 - Nebraska 23 (66.7% Purdue Win) F+ Projection: Purdue by 17 (82.9% Purdue Win) Adjusted S&P+: Nebraska by 15.1 (80.9% Nebraska Win) I asked him about that, and he said it was a mistake, and that the adjusted S&P used the pre-season numbers for this weeks picks. 1 Quote Link to comment
RedDenver Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 5 minutes ago, Saunders said: I asked him about that, and he said it was a mistake, and that the adjusted S&P used the pre-season numbers for this weeks picks. Does he have updated numbers using the current season? Quote Link to comment
Saunders Posted October 26, 2017 Author Share Posted October 26, 2017 14 minutes ago, RedDenver said: Does he have updated numbers using the current season? I don't think so for this week. Quote Link to comment
ladyhawke Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 (edited) Has that first guy even watched Nebraska play since Tre got hurt? Zigbo & Wilson have been effective and Tanner has been playing very well lately. Sorry that guy is full of it! Purdue has scored two touchdowns in their last 7 quarters of play! Edited October 26, 2017 by ladyhawke Quote Link to comment
junior4949 Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 1 hour ago, ladyhawke said: Has that first guy even watched Nebraska play since Tre got hurt? Zigbo & Wilson have been effective and Tanner has been playing very well lately. Sorry that guy is full of it! Purdue has scored two touchdowns in their last 7 quarters of play! Um, haven't we only scored three touchdowns in our last 8 quarters of play? 2 Quote Link to comment
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