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Repealing the ACA under Trump


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Vox article about what the new plan appears to be: Skinny repeal.

 

In other words, repeal the individual mandate, some taxes, and call it good.

 

3 problems:

 

1. Bills passed under Reconciliation (50 votes to pass) have to save money. Repealing a bunch of taxes ONLY does not satisfy that.

 

2. Repealing the mandate and doing nothing else would legitimately send the insurance markets into a REAL death spiral. Healthy people would opt out, sick people would need coverage but would see drastic premium increases because the risk pool just lost a bunch of healthy people.

 

3. They'd have to agree on a bill with the House, whose original bill got mid-teens approval to begin with and was unpalatable for a bunch of senators.

 

It is legitimately shocking how badly McConnell is willing to do anything just to say he did something.

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We have two. Two is the most they can lose. We won't get a third. From what I hear, McCain and Ron Johnson are the only two left to vote. Johnson may have already voted. Some folks are getting riled up about how amazing it would be if McCain vote no to shut the thing down, given the circumstances.

I wouldn't advise anyone to get their hopes up for that outcome.

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