teachercd Posted April 10 Share Posted April 10 1 hour ago, TGHusker said: Many of the swing states had very narrow wins for Biden in 2020. I don't think Trump picks up any more voters there. I think he losses voters in those states due to his criminal issues as well as the abortion issue. He can turn out his voters as much as he wants - he'll get those red states - that is a given. But more and more thoughtful GOPers are leaving trump and they will either vote 3rd party, not vote at all for the top of the ticket or hold their nose and vote Biden - in all 3 cases Trump losses a 2020 voter. The Arizona abortion case just tossed Arizona deeper into Biden's camp IMHO. Geee....which poster has been saying this for months??? 1 1 Link to comment
TGHusker Posted April 10 Author Share Posted April 10 16 minutes ago, teachercd said: Geee....which poster has been saying this for months??? I didn't know Chris Christie had been posting on here. 3 Link to comment
teachercd Posted April 10 Share Posted April 10 Just now, TGHusker said: I didn't know Chris Christie had been posting on here. Ha! 1 Link to comment
Lorewarn Posted April 10 Share Posted April 10 2 hours ago, TGHusker said: Many of the swing states had very narrow wins for Biden in 2020. I don't think Trump picks up any more voters there. I think he losses voters in those states due to his criminal issues as well as the abortion issue. He can turn out his voters as much as he wants - he'll get those red states - that is a given. But more and more thoughtful GOPers are leaving trump and they will either vote 3rd party, not vote at all for the top of the ticket or hold their nose and vote Biden - in all 3 cases Trump losses a 2020 voter. The Arizona abortion case just tossed Arizona deeper into Biden's camp IMHO. Are the votes Trump loses in the states that had the most narrow margins in 2020 more than offsetting the votes Biden loses just by people moving from one district to another more populated one that was already blue? Link to comment
Dr. Strangelove Posted April 10 Share Posted April 10 2 hours ago, TGHusker said: Many of the swing states had very narrow wins for Biden in 2020. I don't think Trump picks up any more voters there. I think he losses voters in those states due to his criminal issues as well as the abortion issue. He can turn out his voters as much as he wants - he'll get those red states - that is a given. But more and more thoughtful GOPers are leaving trump and they will either vote 3rd party, not vote at all for the top of the ticket or hold their nose and vote Biden - in all 3 cases Trump losses a 2020 voter. The Arizona abortion case just tossed Arizona deeper into Biden's camp IMHO. The problem is those swing states - Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada - are increasing their Republican tilt. They were more Republican in 2020 than they were in 2016, and they'll be even more Republican in 2024 than they were in 2020. Trump isn't going to win over many Biden voters, but he will handedly win low propensity disaffected voters. Combine that with an enthusiasm advantage - Biden has massive enthusiasm problems - and I see it being very difficult for him to win enough swing states to win an Electoral College victory. Link to comment
BigRedBuster Posted April 10 Share Posted April 10 26 minutes ago, Dr. Strangelove said: they'll be even more Republican in 2024 than they were in 2020. I’m not so sure about that. Link to comment
Danny Bateman Posted April 10 Share Posted April 10 4 hours ago, knapplc said: This is a flat-out lie, just like the lies the conservatives gave Congress before being affirmed. Every one of them said Roe was settled case law, untouchable. And then they ruled on Dobbs, and here we are. Ahh, but what we need to ask ourselves is what are the odds this fellow would just straight-up lie just because he thought it would help him. I don’t know man. He seems like a pretty straight shooter. 1 Link to comment
teachercd Posted April 10 Share Posted April 10 2 hours ago, BigRedBuster said: I’m not so sure about that. You are correct. 1 Link to comment
teachercd Posted April 10 Share Posted April 10 3 hours ago, Lorewarn said: Are the votes Trump loses in the states that had the most narrow margins in 2020 more than offsetting the votes Biden loses just by people moving from one district to another more populated one that was already blue? This is one of the oddest little conspiracy theories out there. This weird idea that the only people that move are D's and they move out of hotly contested areas. I don't know one single person that has moved in the last 4 years. But for some reason every D is moving. Interest rates blow and home prices suck. No one is moving. 4 Link to comment
teachercd Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 My site took down the political wagers today. Which means they did not like what was going on. 1 Link to comment
commando Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 46 minutes ago, BigRedBuster said: he got that angry over a 5 day suspension from the force for creeping on high school girls? he must be working on his street cred to get a promotion in the trump campaign 1 1 Link to comment
Lorewarn Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 1 hour ago, teachercd said: This is one of the oddest little conspiracy theories out there. This weird idea that the only people that move are D's and they move out of hotly contested areas. I don't know one single person that has moved in the last 4 years. But for some reason every D is moving. Interest rates blow and home prices suck. No one is moving. Or, you know, not every D, but just a few thousand out of roughly one hundred and fifty million, or less than .0001%. Link to comment
teachercd Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 17 minutes ago, Lorewarn said: Or, you know, not every D, but just a few thousand out of roughly one hundred and fifty million, or less than .0001%. Yes, and they all lived in red districts and moved to blue? You are overthinking it...you don't need to do that. This election was over a very long time ago. 1 1 Link to comment
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