The General Election

[GM_Tood]

Trump might actually do this...

 

Looking good early.

[Moiraine]

Trump might actually do this...

 

 

 

Trump might actually do this...

Looking good early.

 

 

 

If Trump wins Virginia, Clinton has to have NH and NV (or get one of OH, NC, FL). (Barring another surprise loss by Clinton)

 

 

Ohio, North Carolina, and Florida are not surprise losses.

[Moiraine]

Updated snake map from 538:

 

and an update on Virginia:

Trump’s lead is down to a percentage point in Virginia, with 82 percent of the vote reporting. There are still enough votes outstanding for Clinton to make up this margin. But this doesn’t look like the big lead that Clinton would have wanted. It looks like the race will be close.

[Moiraine]

In Virginia, Clinton is now down by just 5,000 votes with 14 percent of precincts still remaining. Clinton still has a good chance of winning the state.

 

Clinton is leading by only a percentage point in Wayne County, Michigan. That’s a county Obama won by 48 percentage points. Either that result is wrong, a lot of the vote in Detroit (which is in Wayne County) is out, or the map is looking very different than it used to.

[commando]

 

In Virginia, Clinton is now down by just 5,000 votes with 14 percent of precincts still remaining. Clinton still has a good chance of winning the state.

 

Clinton is leading by only a percentage point in Wayne County, Michigan. That’s a county Obama won by 48 percentage points. Either that result is wrong, a lot of the vote in Detroit (which is in Wayne County) is out, or the map is looking very different than it used to.

 

trump has been saying all along that the election is rigged. maybe we misunderstood him and thought he was accusing the democrats of doing the rigging....when he was actually admitting that he had it rigged in his favor.

[zoogs]

^No, if Trump wins, it will be raw populism triumphing over a sophisticated GOTV operation. It'll be no less than the representation we, as a nation, have asked for, and deserve.

 

But also:

 

[Moiraine]

I think I miscalculated. I think Clinton needs Virginia unless she can take North Carolina.

[Moiraine]

 

Harry Enten 9:51 PM

Clinton now leads in Virginia. There is still vote out in Democratic areas. It’s close, but Clinton should win there.

[Atbone95]

^No, if Trump wins, it will be raw populism triumphing over a sophisticated GOTV operation. It'll be no less than the representation we, as a nation, have asked for, and deserve.

 

But also:

 

Actually, exit polls completely illegitimatized the theory that people actually care Hillary is a woman as a deciding factor. I f'ing hate the woman card.

[teachercd]

^No, if Trump wins, it will be raw populism triumphing over a sophisticated GOTV operation. It'll be no less than the representation we, as a nation, have asked for, and deserve.But also:https://twitter.com/SarahLerner/status/796175748323155968

 

Interesting tweet

[Moiraine]

If my math is right Clinton can't win Florida

[zoogs]

Frankly, this isn't looking good, period.

[It'sNotAFakeID]

Clinton won't win Florida.

 

There are a lot of electoral votes on the west coast.

[teachercd]

Frankly, this isn't looking good, period.

Why? Nothing unexpected has really happened yet.

[Moiraine]

 

Frankly, this isn't looking good, period.

Why? Nothing unexpected has really happened yet.

 

 

 

It may be that it's not looking good because Clinton is losing Wisconsin and Michigan.

 

However it may also be because they now release this stuff county by county to get higher ratings.