Hooked on Huskers Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 Illini as a 6.5 point favorite over Huskers. Opening spread, 5.5. https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/odds USAToday/Sagarin Predictor Column, Illinois by 7.22 points including Home Advantage https://sagarin.usatoday.com/2022-2/college-football-team-ratings-2022/ (wiki source)....Great interest to gamblers. Gamblers use Sagarin's ratings as a source of "Power Ratings," traditionally used as a way to determine the spread between two teams 2 1 Quote Link to comment
husker rob Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 That means that on a neutral or home field for Illinois, Nebraska would be dogs by almost 2 tds. Home team always gets 7 points for home field advantage 1 3 Quote Link to comment
Popular Post runningblind Posted October 23, 2022 Popular Post Share Posted October 23, 2022 1 minute ago, husker rob said: That means that on a neutral or home field for Illinois, Nebraska would be dogs by almost 2 tds. Home team always gets 7 points for home field advantage Home field is 2.5-3 points. 11 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment
Hooked on Huskers Posted October 23, 2022 Author Share Posted October 23, 2022 12 minutes ago, husker rob said: That means that on a neutral or home field for Illinois, Nebraska would be dogs by almost 2 tds. Home team always gets 7 points for home field advantage 10 minutes ago, runningblind said: Home field is 2.5-3 points. Before Huskers/Purdue game, this odds was 14 points. I believe Boilers & Illini was pretty much equal. 1 1 Quote Link to comment
admo Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 6 hours ago, Hooked on Huskers said: Illini as a 6.5 point favorite over Huskers 1 2 Quote Link to comment
husker009 Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 Illinois covers easily 3 Quote Link to comment
Xmas32 Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 6.5 was available for maybe 5 hours yesterday before it crossed through 7/7.5. I wouldn't be shocked to see this get close to 10 by game time although at 10 I expect quite a bit of people to back Nebraska because the bookies wouldn't want to get middled by the people who were able to bet Illinois -5.5 and 6. 1 Quote Link to comment
The Whale Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 On 10/23/2022 at 3:50 PM, Hooked on Huskers said: Illini as a 6.5 point favorite over Huskers. Opening spread, 5.5. https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/odds USAToday/Sagarin Predictor Column, Illinois by 7.22 points including Home Advantage https://sagarin.usatoday.com/2022-2/college-football-team-ratings-2022/ (wiki source)....Great interest to gamblers. Gamblers use Sagarin's ratings as a source of "Power Ratings," traditionally used as a way to determine the spread between two teams I stopped by the Horseshoe in CB earlier today and placed $2K on Illinois at -7.5 points. This is the first bet I've placed this season on a Huskers game. 1 2 Quote Link to comment
ZRod Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 4 hours ago, The Whale said: I stopped by the Horseshoe in CB earlier today and placed $2K on Illinois at -7.5 points. This is the first bet I've placed this season on a Huskers game. You know you can just do it on your phone these days... 1 1 Quote Link to comment
husker009 Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 Illinois is a disciplined, fundamentally sound team and can play defense. Not to mention their lines don’t get pushed around. Essentially, they are the exact opposite of NU. 1 1 Quote Link to comment
husker009 Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 Illinois had a much worse team last year and still beat NU. The only thing NU has going for them this year is that this game is in Lincoln. 1 1 Quote Link to comment
JJ Husker Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 9 hours ago, ZRod said: You know you can just do it on your phone these days... You can make up a complete bulls#!t story on your phone? 1 4 1 Quote Link to comment
ZRod Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 6 hours ago, JJ Husker said: You can make up a complete bulls#!t story on your phone? Indeed. And then a bunch of fools on a message board will believe it. 1 Quote Link to comment
gossamorharpy Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 On 10/23/2022 at 2:25 PM, husker rob said: That means that on a neutral or home field for Illinois, Nebraska would be dogs by almost 2 tds. Home team always gets 7 points for home field advantage 1. no its not, historically its more around 2.5-3. More recently, home field advantage is becoming even less of a thing with better travel and more teams having same/standardized resources 2. Its a common misconception that vegas sets a line based off how they think the game will play out. They set a line with the end goal of making the most amount of money as possible while also covering their exposure. While the line obviously takes into account the teams at hand, its also set in a way to encourage money from a certain side to pour in and have the line adjust accordingly, all with the end goal of taking our money. 1 Quote Link to comment
BigRedBuster Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, gossamorharpy said: 1. no its not, historically its more around 2.5-3. More recently, home field advantage is becoming even less of a thing with better travel and more teams having same/standardized resources 2. Its a common misconception that vegas sets a line based off how they think the game will play out. They set a line with the end goal of making the most amount of money as possible while also covering their exposure. While the line obviously takes into account the teams at hand, its also set in a way to encourage money from a certain side to pour in and have the line adjust accordingly, all with the end goal of taking our money. Yep. All Vegas cares about is having equal money on both sides. Their exposure is zero and they make a lot of money. So, the line is really set by the gamblers. Probably 20 years ago, i was in Vegas and wanted to bet on the cubs winning the world series. I thought if it comes in, I would make big bank. No. the bet wouldn't have paid off hardly anything. I was told by them that it's because everyone comes and puts money on the Cubs to win. So, the line is down far enough that Vegas really has no exposure. In reality, they were the biggest long shot that year. 1 Quote Link to comment
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