Kiyoat Husker Posted May 23, 2016 Author Share Posted May 23, 2016 Anyhoo, here is the average response. (7 votes in) Fresno W Wyoming W Oregon T NW T Ill W Indy W Purdue W Wisc L OSU L Minny W Mary W Iowa T So that is 7W, 3T, 2L, or an average prediction of 8.5 wins (7 to 10) Updated average response after 14 picks: Fresno W Wyoming W Oregon L Northwestern W Illinois W Indy W Purdue W Wisc T tOSU L Minny W Mary W Iowa T 8W, 2T, 2L or 8-10 wins (9 win average) 1 Quote Link to comment
Mavric Posted May 23, 2016 Share Posted May 23, 2016 Updated average response after 14 picks: Fresno W Wyoming W Oregon L Northwestern W Illinois W Indy W Purdue W Wisc T tOSU L Minny W Mary W Iowa T 8W, 2T, 2L or 8-10 wins (9 win average) Nice work. Not sure how you're tracking it but it would be interesting to see a percentage. Difference between 60% of people saying we'll win a game and 100%. Quote Link to comment
Kiyoat Husker Posted May 23, 2016 Author Share Posted May 23, 2016 Nice work. Not sure how you're tracking it but it would be interesting to see a percentage. Difference between 60% of people saying we'll win a game and 100%. Just hand-tallying. Ask and you shall receive: Fresno State 100% Win Wyoming 100% Win Oregon 14% Win -- 43% Tossup -- 43% Loss Northwestern 50% Win -- 29% Tossup -- 21% Loss Illinois 100% Win Indiana 79% Win -- 14% Tossup -- 7% Loss Purdue 100% Win Wisconsin 29% Win -- 36% Tossup -- 36% Loss Ohio State 7% Tossup -- 93% Loss Minnesota 79% Win -- 7% Tossup -- 14% Loss Maryland 100% Win Iowa 29% Win -- 43% Tossup -- 29% Loss Rather than awarding Oregon and Wisconsin .25 wins each, I decided to split the difference and give Oregon a Loss and Wisconsin a Tossup. With a larger sample size this would likely not be an issue. Another way to look at it: 5 Virtual Sure-wins (yes I know these don't really exist anymore, don't come at me for it) Fresno, Wyoming, Illinois, Purdue, Maryland 2 Likely wins Indiana, Minnesota 1 Toss-up leaning towards a win Northwestern 1 50/50 Toss-up Iowa 2 Toss-ups leaning towards loss Oregon, Wisconsin 1 Virtual sure-loss Ohio State 2 Quote Link to comment
r06ue1 Posted May 23, 2016 Share Posted May 23, 2016 Worst case I see is 7-5 and best is 10-2. Fresno W Wyoming W Oregon L @ Northwestern W (L) Illinois W @ Indiana W Purdue W @ Wisconsin W (L) @ tOSU L Minnesota W Maryland W @ Iowa W (L) As long as Tommy isn't chucking the ball down field, that is what I see. If he is chucking it, five losses. Quote Link to comment
NUance Posted May 23, 2016 Share Posted May 23, 2016 Fresno Win 56-0 Wyoming W 70-0 Oregon W 42-17 @ Northwestern W 42-3 Illinois W 70-0 @ Indiana W 49-7 Purdue W 77-0 @ Wisconsin W 35-10 @ tOSU W 35-21 Minnesota W 49-10 Maryland W 60-0 @ Iowa W 42-3 B1G championship VS MSU- W 35-17 NAT Champ semifinal vs FSU- W42-10 NAT CHAMP-vs Alabama- W 35-27 Any other questions? It looks to me like we don't try any field goals up through the first ten games. Then, feeling sorry for Drew Brown, we let him kick 20 field goals against Maryland. Is this what happens? 1 Quote Link to comment
huskerenner Posted May 23, 2016 Share Posted May 23, 2016 Worst case I see is 7-5 and best is 10-2. Fresno W Wyoming W Oregon L @ Northwestern W (L) Illinois W @ Indiana W Purdue W @ Wisconsin W (L) @ tOSU L Minnesota W Maryland W @ Iowa W (L) As long as Tommy isn't chucking the ball down field, that is what I see. If he is chucking it, five losses. In other words, 5 losses! Tommy is not going to suddenly figure it out. Sigh....next up? Quote Link to comment
melscott62 Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 Fresno - Win by a score of roughly 49-22 Wyoming - Win but they make a late push Oregon - Win on the final drive 28-26 @NW - Win, and big. Like 52-13 big Illinois - Win a lazy game by 20 unimpressively @IU - Our defense comes out lazy and we have to explode in the 4th to win an early shootout Purdue - Shutout, 40-0 @Wisconsin - Win, they come out beaten up and we take an early lead and win 38-20 @Ohio State - Loss, but it's only by 9 points Minnesota - Win, an early scare gets stuffed by the D Maryland - Win an easy game, 39-10 @Iowa - Win, like we did the first couple times we played em *note: ^ that is best case scenario. I think we go 9-3 on the year. I honestly laughed out loud. Why do people think we do anything better than .500? .500 is just as laughable IMO. They clearly turned the corner last year. Logic tells you we won't lose as many close games either 1 Quote Link to comment
dvdcrr Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 One thing I have noticed over the years, confer with a knowledgeable friend or better group of friends and discuss/find consensus on how many games the team really could lose. In all likelihood, they will indeed lose those games. Wisdom of the Crowd: http://www.diplomacy.edu/resources/books/reviews/wisdom-crowds-why-many-are-smarter-few Quote Link to comment
Savage Husker Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 I see best case scenario 10-2 with back to back losses at Wiscy and OSU. Worst case scenario is 8-4, lose 3 of my 4 Toss-Up games and the 4th loss comes at the hands of a progrum that makes Huskerboard meltdown. I believe the players are talented enough to be in every game, but I very much question the attention to detail to finish, primarily at the QB position. This team goes as far as he takes them. DL concerns me, but I have belief JP can coach them up to not be the weakest link on the entire team. Fresno W Wyoming W Oregon T @ Northwestern W Illinois W @ Indiana W Purdue W @ Wisconsin T @ tOSU T Minnesota W Maryland W @ Iowa T Quote Link to comment
Redux Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 Fresno - Win by a score of roughly 49-22 Wyoming - Win but they make a late push Oregon - Win on the final drive 28-26 @NW - Win, and big. Like 52-13 big Illinois - Win a lazy game by 20 unimpressively @IU - Our defense comes out lazy and we have to explode in the 4th to win an early shootout Purdue - Shutout, 40-0 @Wisconsin - Win, they come out beaten up and we take an early lead and win 38-20 @Ohio State - Loss, but it's only by 9 points Minnesota - Win, an early scare gets stuffed by the D Maryland - Win an easy game, 39-10 @Iowa - Win, like we did the first couple times we played em *note: ^ that is best case scenario. I think we go 9-3 on the year. I honestly laughed out loud. Why do people think we do anything better than .500? .500 is just as laughable IMO. They clearly turned the corner last year. Logic tells you we won't lose as many close games either Waldo didn't use logic in his prediction of .500 Quote Link to comment
ScottyIce Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 I stand by my prediction that we go undie-feated. 1 Quote Link to comment
NUinID Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 I guess I don't understand the 5-7 or 6-6 reasoning. Could this season end up like last season? Possible, but not real likely. NU lost 4 games in the last minutes of the game. Is it a defense mechanism? That way if they don't perform like you want you arn't disappointed? I just doesn't seem like many on this board are looking at what the other schools have returning or what they have lost. They only look at what NU has lost. Do you know that Ohio St only returns 6 starters. Three on offense and three on defense. That is a lot to replace. Doesn't mean NU beats them, because they have a ton of talent still, but that has to give you a little food for thought. Last year OSU had a ton of talent returning and still didn't get it done. Almost everyone has Wyoming as a slam dunk 3 TD win, but they actually return a ton of starters. Bohl played a ton of young guys that got a lot of experience. I expect them to be much imporved over last year. Would not surprise me in the least if they end up 6-6 maybe even 7-5. Oregon will be talented, but they lost a ton and have lots of problems, the biggest being finding a QB. That offense doesn't go without a good QB for the system. They couldn't stop anyone last year and are now switching to a 4-3 defense. Wisconsin lost Stave and a good bit of talent on defense and most importantly they lost their DC. You can run the same basic scheme, but it doesn't always look exactly the same when someone else is calling the defense or offense for that matter. Think Bohl running basically the same stuff as McBride did. You got to look at who they play before us also. They are going to be beat up when we get them. NW offense was terrible last year and was completely propped up by a really good defense that lost some good talent up on the front end. These are things that I think about when making predictions. The game that actually scares me is Indiana. They score points on everyone, but have a hard time stopping teams. When a team can score points you never know what will happen. Anything less than 8-4 and I will be dissappointed. If TA listens and plays like he did against UCLA. This will be a really good offensive team. The loss of experience on the DL is scary, but I like the talent, they just need to step up and play. Fresno WWyoming WOregon W@ Northwestern WIllinois W@ Indiana W?Purdue W@ Wisconsin T@ tOSU LMinnesota WMaryland W@ Iowa T Quote Link to comment
RunMickeyRun02 Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 Fresno W Wyoming W Oregon T @ Northwestern T Illinois W @ Indiana W (L) Purdue W @ Wisconsin T @ Ohio State L Minnesota T Maryland W (L) @ Iowa T Normally I would predict we would beat someone we shouldn't (like MSU last year) and lose to someone we shouldn't like Illy and Duey last year. But I only see one for sure loss on the schedule. I'll stick with the lose to someone we shouldn't and say it'll be Indiana or Maryland. Split the T's and since I have 5 I'll go with 3-2 as the universe needs to re-balance after the close losses last year...carry the one...... 8-4 Quote Link to comment
The Maudfather Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 Whoa. I was at the end of the thread, tallying scores, and I decided to refresh the screen. Maudfather's profile picture instantly changed from Chevy Chase to Randy Savage. It was like magic. OH YEEEEEUUUUAAAAUHHHHH 3 Quote Link to comment
grandpasknee Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 Fresno W Wyoming W Oregon W @ Northwestern L Illinois W @ Indiana W Purdue W @ Wisconsin W @ tOSU L but respectable Minnesota W Maryland W @ Iowa W in a blowout Now, time to take my meds and go to sleep....heh heh..oh, maybe with predictions like that I already took my meds....!!!! Quote Link to comment
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