The 2016 Prospect Probability Game

Thanks_Tom RR · January 15, 2016

We need to have a little fun with the final month of the 2016 recruiting cycle. As it turns out, many of the top prospects Riley and crew have been recruiting are waiting until NSD Day or near to it to make a decision, backloading this class. That means from the causal observer to hardcore recruitnicks, we are all left guessing how well this class will fill out.

I thought in the meantime, let's play a game and rank the probability that each of the following recruits currently on Nebraska's Big Board will commit to DONU and sign on the dotted line. All you need to do is rank the signing probability of each recruit from the list below in respect to each other (with zero being "will not sign" and higher numbers meaning "more likely"). I have the 16 recruits currently on Nebraska's Big Board broken into four pods (two offense, two defense). You will be given 6 POINTS PER POD to place next to any recruit's name. If you think there is a good chance the recruit will sign, you can give the MAX 3 POINTS to that recruit. If you think there is no chance we see him in scarlet and cream, give him the MINIMAL 0 POINTS. For example, if you think from Offense Pod 1 Desmond Fitzpatrick is more likely to commit than Isaiah Simmons but not as likely as Zach Farrar while Kalija Lipscomb will definitely not sign, you could rank them: 0 - Kalija Lipscomb, 1 - Isaiah Simmons, 2 - Desmond Fitzpatrick, 3 - Zach Farrar.

Got it? Good. Since this is a game, after NSD, I can sift through the predictions and determine who amassed the most points by correctly predicting and assigning the most points to future Nebraska commits.

PREDICTIONS NEED TO BE COMPLETED BEFORE A COMMITMENT. A 3 POINT PENALTY WILL BE GIVEN PER POD THAT ALREADY HAS A COMMITMENT.

Current Standings

Here is the complete list:

Offense Pod 1
WR/S Isaiah Simmons [Clemson Commit 02/02/16]
WR Desmond Fitzpatrick [Louisville Commit 02/01/16]
WR Kalija Lipscomb [Vandy Commit 01/17/16]
WR Zach Farrar [Mississippi State Commit 01/21/16]

Offense Pod 2
OT Matt Farniok [Nebraska Signed 01/27/16]
OT Royce Newman [Mississippi Signed 01/25/16]
OT Jauan Williams [Florida State Signed 02/03/16]
OT Alaric Jackson [iowa Signed 02/03/16]

Defense Pod 1
CB Lamar Jackson [Nebraska Signed 02/02/16]
S Tony Butler [Nebraska Signed 01/20/16]
JUCO CB Devron Davis [Colorado St Signed 02/03/16]
DT Amir Watts [Pitt Signed 01/24/16]

Defense Pod 2
JUCO DE Tramal Ivy [south Florida Signed 01/27/16]
DE Collin Miller [Nebraska Signed 01/24/16]
JUCO LB Kapri Doucet [Oklahoma Signed 01/22/16]
LB Cameron Goode [Cal Signed 01/26/16]

ScottyIce · January 15, 2016

Offense Pod 1

3 WR/S Isaiah Simmons

3 WR Desmond Fitzpatrick

Offense Pod 2

Defense Pod 1

0 JUCO CB Devron Davis

0 DT Amir Watts

Defense Pod 2

2 JUCO DE Tramal Ivy

3 DE Collin Miller

0 JUCO LB Kapri Doucet

1 LB Cameron Goode

SkerLover95 · January 15, 2016

Offense Pod 1

WR/S Isaiah Simmons - 2

WR Desmond Fitzpatrick - 3

WR Kalija Lipscomb - 0

WR Zach Farrar - 1

Offense Pod 2

OT Matt Farniok - 2

OT Royce Newman - 1

OT Jauan Williams - 0

OT Alaric Jackson - 3

Defense Pod 1

CB Lamar Jackson - 1

S Tony Butler - 3

JUCO CB Devron Davis - 0

DT Amir Watts - 2

Defense Pod 2

JUCO DE Tramal Ivy - 2

DE Collin Miller - 3

JUCO LB Kapri Doucet - 0

LB Cameron Goode - 1

Thanks_Tom RR · January 15, 2016

Offense Pod 1

3 - WR/S Isaiah Simmons

3 - WR Desmond Fitzpatrick

0 - WR Kalija Lipscomb

0 - WR Zach Farrar

Offense Pod 2

3 - OT Matt Farniok

0 - OT Royce Newman

1 - OT Jauan Williams

2 - OT Alaric Jackson

Defense Pod 1

3 - CB Lamar Jackson

2 - S Tony Butler

1 - JUCO CB Devron Davis

0 - DT Amir Watts

Defense Pod 2

3 - JUCO DE Tramal Ivy

3 - DE Collin Miller

0 - JUCO LB Kapri Doucet

0 - LB Cameron Goode

Atbone95 · January 15, 2016

Offense Pod 1

WR/S Isaiah Simmons - 3

WR Desmond Fitzpatrick - 3

WR Kalija Lipscomb - 0

WR Zach Farrar - 0

Offense Pod 2

OT Matt Farniok - 3

OT Royce Newman - 1

OT Jauan Williams - 0

OT Alaric Jackson - 2

Defense Pod 1

CB Lamar Jackson - 2

S Tony Butler - 3

JUCO CB Devron Davis -1

DT Amir Watts - 0

Defense Pod 2

JUCO DE Tramal Ivy - 2

DE Collin Miller - 3

JUCO LB Kapri Doucet - 0

LB Cameron Goode - 1

BaytownHusker · January 15, 2016

Offense Pod 1

WR/S Isaiah Simmons - 2

WR Desmond Fitzpatrick - 2

WR Kalija Lipscomb -1

WR Zach Farrar - 3

Offense Pod 2

OT Matt Farniok - 3

OT Royce Newman - 1

OT Jauan Williams - 1

OT Alaric Jackson - 2

Defense Pod 1

CB Lamar Jackson - 0

S Tony Butler - 3

JUCO CB Devron Davis - 1

DT Amir Watts - 3

Defense Pod 2

JUCO DE Tramal Ivy - 2

DE Collin Miller - 1

JUCO LB Kapri Doucet - 2

LB Cameron Goode - 1

GBRFAN · January 15, 2016

Offense Pod 1

3 WR/S Isaiah Simmons

3 WR Desmond Fitzpatrick

Offense Pod 2

Defense Pod 1

1 JUCO CB Devron Davis

0 DT Amir Watts

Defense Pod 2

3 JUCO DE Tramal Ivy

3 DE Collin Miller

0 JUCO LB Kapri Doucet

0 LB Cameron Goode

Atbone95 · January 15, 2016

Offense Pod 1

WR/S Isaiah Simmons - 2

WR Desmond Fitzpatrick - 2

WR Kalija Lipscomb -1

WR Zach Farrar - 3

Offense Pod 2

OT Matt Farniok - 3

OT Royce Newman - 1

OT Jauan Williams - 1

OT Alaric Jackson - 2

Defense Pod 1

CB Lamar Jackson - 0

S Tony Butler - 3

JUCO CB Devron Davis - 1

DT Amir Watts - 3

Defense Pod 2

JUCO DE Tramal Ivy - 2

DE Collin Miller - 1

JUCO LB Kapri Doucet - 2

LB Cameron Goode - 1

I think you forgot how to add

swmohusker · January 16, 2016

Offense Pod 1

WR/S Isaiah Simmons -1

WR Desmond Fitzpatrick-3

WR Kalija Lipscomb -2

WR Zach Farrar -0

Offense Pod 2

OT Matt Farniok 3

OT Royce Newman 0

OT Jauan Williams 0

OT Alaric Jackson 3

Defense Pod 1

CB Lamar Jackson 2

S Tony Butler 3

JUCO CB Devron Davis 1

DT Amir Watts 0

Defense Pod 2

JUCO DE Tramal Ivy 2

DE Collin Miller 3

JUCO LB Kapri Doucet 0

LB Cameron Goode 1

seaofred92 · January 16, 2016

Offense Pod 1

WR/S Isaiah Simmons 1

WR Desmond Fitzpatrick 3

Offense Pod 2

Defense Pod 1

JUCO CB Devron Davis 0

DT Amir Watts 0

Defense Pod 2

JUCO DE Tramal Ivy 3

DE Collin Miller 3

JUCO LB Kapri Doucet 0

LB Cameron Goode 0

Thanks_Tom RR · January 18, 2016

Heads up for those considering throwing their predictions in the ring, there is a potential announcement from Tony Butler later this week (Wednesday, January 20th) that will affect Def Pod 1. So, get your predictions made in the next two days to avoid the 3 point late penalty.

First commitment to Offense Pod 1. Kalija Lipscomb to Vandy.