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The 2022 Congressional Elections


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On 9/25/2022 at 10:28 AM, Archy1221 said:

 

That's a conservative pollster, but I'd have to think it's somewhat close.

 

The advantage in the House is R+1-2, so a 5 point win should translate into a majority of 20-25 seats. They'd probably win the Senate by flipping Georgia and Nevada.

 

My personal guess is that we end up with a modest R+2 election, meaning that Republicans will win the House but control a very slim majority of less than 10 seats.  The Senate probably stays 50/50, but it really is a toss-up. 

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2 hours ago, Dr. Strangelove said:

That's a conservative pollster, but I'd have to think it's somewhat close.

 

The advantage in the House is R+1-2, so a 5 point win should translate into a majority of 20-25 seats. They'd probably win the Senate by flipping Georgia and Nevada.

 

My personal guess is that we end up with a modest R+2 election, meaning that Republicans will win the House but control a very slim majority of less than 10 seats.  The Senate probably stays 50/50, but it really is a toss-up. 

You think ABC/WAPO commissions a conservative pollster? 

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