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Does NU have a chance in the B1G West?


Red Five

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1 hour ago, desertshox said:

 

How is there a higher chance to win the conference than there is to win out?

 

 

 

Mostly rounding issues as each number is tiny. Win out is going 7 for 7 to close out the year. Winning the conference assumes we lose can again, still win the division, then pull a miracle. 

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Honestly, as of right now, each game is 50/50

 

Scary to say but HH might be the best QB in the West, think about that.

 

Northwestern might be the "best" team left and by that I mean they are clearly flawed but they are not insane.  I will explain.

 

Purdue is already over their new coach and it hurts even more that their old coach is tearing it up.  They are done.

Maryland did it again!  Started off nice and now went crazy.

MSU can't wait for the season to end.

Wisconsin hates life because they have no idea what they are doing

Iowa is terrified because their entire season is about beating NU and they got smoked last year at home and they are worried it will happen again this year.

 

These games are all 50/50

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On 10/10/2023 at 9:42 AM, Red Five said:

 

After Week 6

 

Nebraska #63 in SP+ / #66 in FPI

 

Minnesota #64 / #61
Colorado #80 / #64
N. Illinois #104 / #194
Louisiana Tech #108 / #111
Michigan #1 / #8
Illinois #68 / #75
North­western #103 / #88
Purdue #73 / #56
Michigan St #59  / #60
Maryland #31 / #24
Wisconsin #23 / #23
Iowa #41 / #35

 

After Week 7.  SP+ must know we had great practices during the bye.

 

Nebraska #53 in SP+ / #65 in FPI

 

Minnesota #56 / #61
Colorado #78 / #74
N. Illinois #102 / #92
Louisiana Tech #111 / #110
Michigan #1 / #4
Illinois #58 / #64
North­western #95 / #88
Purdue #75 / #60
Michigan St #55  / #59

Maryland #32 / #26
Wisconsin #25 / #28
Iowa #37 / #33

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On 10/10/2023 at 9:45 AM, Red Five said:

 

FPI Chance to win the West after week 6:

Wisconsin 67.0%

Iowa 29.0%

Nebraska 1.8%

Minnesota 1.4%

Northwestern 0.4%

Illinois 0.2%

Purdue 0.1%

 

We have the 3rd best chance!  We were 7th last week.

 

FPI Chance to win the West after week 7:

Iowa 76.3%

Wisconsin 16.6%

Nebraska 2.6%

Illinois 2.1%

Minnesota 1.7%

Northwestern 0.6%

Purdue 0.2%

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5 minutes ago, Red Five said:

 

After Week 7.  SP+ must know we had great practices during the bye.

 

Nebraska #53 in SP+ / #65 in FPI

 

Minnesota #56 / #61
Colorado #78 / #74
N. Illinois #102 / #92
Louisiana Tech #111 / #110
Michigan #1 / #4
Illinois #58 / #64
North­western #95 / #88
Purdue #75 / #60
Michigan St #55  / #59

Maryland #32 / #26
Wisconsin #25 / #28
Iowa #37 / #33

Just keep winning BABY!!!

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This was always going to be a rebuilding year, but if we had only half the injuries and a portal quarterback better than our returning back-up, you'd have to like our chances to take the West in Rhule's first year.

 

I don't think we make it, but six wins and a bowl should still be on the table. 

 

Not sure how much to celebrate, but I'll take it. 

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33 minutes ago, Red Five said:

B1G West.  Home of the worst offenses in the P5

 

#76 Illinois 5.56 ypp

#80 Nebraska 5.52 ypp

#81 Wisconsin 5.51 ypp

#106 Purdue 5.12 ypp

#120 Minnesota 4.92 ypp

#126 Northwestern 4.61 ypp

#128 Iowa 4.38 ypp

Or, the best defenses in P5.  heh.....

 

;-)

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4 hours ago, Red Five said:

B1G West.  Home of the worst offenses in the P5

 

#76 Illinois 5.56 ypp

#80 Nebraska 5.52 ypp

#81 Wisconsin 5.51 ypp

#106 Purdue 5.12 ypp

#120 Minnesota 4.92 ypp

#126 Northwestern 4.61 ypp

#128 Iowa 4.38 ypp

Well if I'm reading this right Nebraska can run two plays and get a first down.... Iowa cannot 

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