PaulCrewe Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Seaofred92 is on the same page as I am. Put it it out simply. Any loss to close the year(and that has to be to best turd left on the schedule ie Maryland, means they MUST make the conference tourney final to be close and it’d be very close. Two losses means they have to win it all. And all this is is predicated on pretty much every conference holding chalk in their conference tourneys. Any Cinderella teams kicks NU to the curb. Quote Link to comment
Mavric Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 3 hours ago, BigRedBuster said: Looking at this bracket, I think he has us as a play-in game at the top. One of the frustrations with Twitter is that you can't expand a picture on your computer. 1 Quote Link to comment
Moiraine Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 (edited) Who the hell is Nebrask? Let's sue. Using the % ESPN gave for each game before the Iowa win, we have a 3% chance of finishing 6-0. I kinda like using the old ones. Because each time we win a game they're going to increase our chances of winning the following games. More fun to see what our chances are according to how good ESPN thought we were last week. Edited January 30, 2018 by Moiraine Quote Link to comment
BIG ERN Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 56th in RPI today. I don't see how Texas A&M, Michigan, and Marquette are so far ahead of us. That Kansas loss was major as I honestly wouldn't even be sweating if we beat them Quote Link to comment
ECisGod Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 (edited) 10 hours ago, Moiraine said: Who the hell is Nebrask? Let's sue. Using the % ESPN gave for each game before the Iowa win, we have a 3% chance of finishing 6-0. I kinda like using the old ones. Because each time we win a game they're going to increase our chances of winning the following games. More fun to see what our chances are according to how good ESPN thought we were last week. With the new percentages it is up to 4.4%. Only game we are projected to lose is at Minnesota. Edited January 30, 2018 by ECisGod Quote Link to comment
Red Five Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Road wins are good. Still need to figure out a way to get these into the 40s... Ranking after Iowa W -> Ranking after Wisky W RPI #65 --> #57 BPI #71 --> #64 KenPom #60 --> #57 2 Quote Link to comment
Cdog923 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 9 hours ago, seaofred92 said: Of course he tries to rain on the parade. Quote Link to comment
Red Five Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 9 minutes ago, BIG ERN said: 56th in RPI today. I don't see how Texas A&M, Michigan, and Marquette are so far ahead of us. That Kansas loss was major as I honestly wouldn't even be sweating if we beat them When you break it down, its pretty easy to see. They all have more wins vs top 50 and 51-100 teams. And have no losses to 100+ teams. We have also played way more 100+ teams, leading to a much lower SOS than them. #36 A&M - 4-6 vs Top 50 / 3-2 vs 51-100 / 6-0 vs 100+ / #6 SOS #37 Mich - 2-4 vs Top 50 / 3-2 vs 51-100 / 12-0 vs 100+ / #59 SOS #47 Marq - 2-7 vs Top 50 / 3-1 vs 51-100 / 8-0 vs 100+ / #13 SOS #57 Neb - 1-5 vs Top 50 / 1-1 vs 51-100 / 15-2 vs 100+ / #91 SOS 4 Quote Link to comment
Cdog923 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 At this point, just win out and leave no doubt. Had they finished against Ohio State, they could afford a loss, but at this juncture, Al Davis it is. Quote Link to comment
Red Five Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Just now, Cdog923 said: Of course he tries to rain on the parade. How is that raining on the parade? With what we've seen the last month, going 4-2 would be kind of a letdown against that schedule. 2 Quote Link to comment
BIG ERN Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 (edited) 10 minutes ago, Red Five said: When you break it down, its pretty easy to see. They all have more wins vs top 50 and 51-100 teams. And have no losses to 100+ teams. We have also played way more 100+ teams, leading to a much lower SOS than them. #36 A&M - 4-6 vs Top 50 / 3-2 vs 51-100 / 6-0 vs 100+ / #6 SOS #37 Mich - 2-4 vs Top 50 / 3-2 vs 51-100 / 12-0 vs 100+ / #59 SOS #47 Marq - 2-7 vs Top 50 / 3-1 vs 51-100 / 8-0 vs 100+ / #13 SOS #57 Neb - 1-5 vs Top 50 / 1-1 vs 51-100 / 15-2 vs 100+ / #91 SOS If you bump it to 50 yes, but not if you actually beat a ranked team. Our best two players are transfers. That is why I think we are also seeing this team come together better late which matters more than early wins IMO. I get the schedule isn't tough, but we are a better team by far now than the first half of the season. #36 A&M - 0-4 vs Top 25 #37 Mich - 1-4 vs Top 25 #47 Marq - 1-6 vs Top 25 Edited January 30, 2018 by BIG ERN Quote Link to comment
Cdog923 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 5 minutes ago, Red Five said: How is that raining on the parade? With what we've seen the last month, going 4-2 would be kind of a letdown against that schedule. He frames his argument in the negative, not the positive. Classic OWH. Quote Link to comment
Red Five Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, BIG ERN said: If you bump it to 50 yes, but not if you actually beat a ranked team. #36 A&M - 0-4 vs Top 25 #37 Mich - 1-4 vs Top 25 #47 Marq - 1-6 vs Top 25 You can look at it that way, but it doesn't change anything in my post. Our resume is inferior to those teams. Quote Link to comment
Cdog923 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 4 minutes ago, Red Five said: You can look at it that way, but it doesn't change anything in my post. Our resume is inferior to those teams. Like I said, I have a sneaky suspicion that not beating Ohio State may come back to haunt us. Quote Link to comment
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.