***** Official Election Game Day Thread *****

[Enhance]

Weird hearing a person sound like...

 

you know... 

 

a president.

 

 

[Moiraine]

Trump's PA lead down to 5.3% with 84% reported. There are still votes in Republican areas but I think they will shift the % toward Biden too. E.g. look at Monroe - it seems unlikely there would be a 25.8 point shift toward the Republican. This is likely due to early ballots not being counted yet and them skewing Democrat. The others have huge shifts too. 24 points, 20 points, 21 points, 23 points. I find it very unlikely things shifted that much. Then with Philadelphia you will see it move to a bigger Biden lead.

 

County	Margin	2016 margin	Est. votes reported		Total votes	Absentee
Monroe	Trump +25	D+0.8	59%		47,956	—
Cumberland	Trump +42	R+17.8	63%		88,282	—
Montour	Trump +48	R+28.4	65%		6,496	—
Butler	Trump +58	R+36.6	69%		78,070	—
Mercer	Trump +47	R+24.2	69%		41,735	—
Philadelphia	Biden +60	D+67	70%		576,716	75,220

[VectorVictor]

Michigan was just called for Biden by AP and NBC.

[ColoradoHusk]

Just now, Moiraine said:

Trump's PA lead down to 5.3% with 84% reported.

My math shows about 1.1M votes outstanding.  Biden will need to carry 65% of the remaining votes to overcome Trump.  Very do-able with recent trends of the past 4-5% reporting.

[Moiraine]

1 minute ago, ColoradoHusk said:

My math shows about 1.1M votes outstanding.  Biden will need to carry 65% of the remaining votes to overcome Trump.  Very do-able with recent trends of the past 4-5% reporting.

 

 

Ya, I added more to my post. Even the Republican counties reporting will cut into Trump's lead unless there was an enormous shift to Trump in those counties from 2016.

[ColoradoHusk]

2 minutes ago, VectorVictor said:

Michigan was just called for Biden by AP and NBC.

CNN calling it for Biden, as well.

[Redux]

3 minutes ago, VectorVictor said:

Michigan was just called for Biden by AP and NBC.

 

And the Trump lawyers began frothing at the mouth

[VectorVictor]

1 minute ago, Moiraine said:

 

 

Ya, I added more to my post. Even the Republican counties reporting will cut into Trump's lead unless there was an enormous shift to Trump in those counties from 2016.

 

And so far, there hasn't been. It's been at 2016 levels, save for some low population counties getting extra people out. 

[Enhance]

So, if Nevada continues to trend in their current direction... that's 270?

[VectorVictor]

1 minute ago, Redux said:

 

And the Trump lawyers began frothing at the mouth

 

To be fair, it's because they got rabies from a stag party the night before. 

[ColoradoHusk]

2 minutes ago, Enhance said:

So, if Nevada continues to trend in their current direction... that's 270?

If Biden gets Pennsylvania or the combo of Nevada & Arizona, he's at 270+.

[VectorVictor]

13 minutes ago, ColoradoHusk said:

If Biden gets Pennsylvania or the combo of Nevada & Arizona, he's at 270+.

 

Biden is currently at 253 if you include Michigan but exclude Arizona. 

 

Biden needs to just win Pennsylvania or win two of the following to get to 270:

• Georgia (16) 
• Nevada (6) (Currently Leading)
• Arizona (11) (Currently Leading)
• North Carolina (15)

 

[Born N Bled Red]

There goes Guiliani, should put Borat in the audience. Apparently they think there is fraud in Philly and its a shame that its in the city that's the birthplace of our democracy. Lawsuit pending.

[ColoradoHusk]

1 minute ago, VectorVictor said:

 

Biden is currently at 253 if you include Michigan but exclude Arizona. 

 

Biden needs to win two of the following to get to 270:

• Georgia (16)
• Nevada (6) (Currently Leading)
• Arizona (11) (Currently Leading)
• Pennsylvania (20)
• North Carolina (15)

 

He would just need Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes to get to 270.  That one state/commonwealth would push Biden over the top.

[B.B. Hemingway]

49 minutes ago, Enhance said:

Lols.

 

It's expected of course. Dems shouted and shouted in 2016 about 'not my president' and any other hyperbolic doom they could muster. Truth is - most of us are going to just keep living our lives.

 

Yep. Virtually unbothered.