Notre Dame Joe Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Every key state except AZ will continue accepting ballots all week. WI, MI, PA, NC In PA's case Quote Mail-in ballots postmarked by 8:00 p.m. Election Day will be counted as valid through Nov. 6. The court noted an increase in mail-in ballots could slow United States Postal Service delivery standards and time and disenfranchise voters. However, ballots received within that period that “lack a postmark or other proof of mailing, or for which the postmark or other proof of mailing is illegible” will be “presumed to have been mailed by Election Day” unless proven otherwise. 1 Link to comment
whateveritis1224 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 How bout Nebraska right now? Democrat Bolz is up on Fartenberry and 1 and 2 are for Biden right now. Disappointed about Eastman, and I’m not sure Bolz lead keeps, but it’s something. https://electionresults.nebraska.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=CG&map=DIST 1 Link to comment
Moiraine Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 Pretty good summary. He says in the video it could be days or weeks until we know. My guess was Biden had to win Florida to make it pretty clear tonight. Link to comment
Omaha-Husker Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, whateveritis1224 said: How bout Nebraska right now? Democrat Bolz is up on Fartenberry and 1 and 2 are for Biden right now. Disappointed about Eastman, and I’m not sure Bolz lead keeps, but it’s something. https://electionresults.nebraska.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=CG&map=DIST The early returns were really odd here. NE2 starting to make more sense. Bolz doing way better early, but might just be a matter of Lincoln voting early and the rest of NE1 voting today? Either way they both had me raising my eyebrows. Link to comment
Moiraine Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 I read somewhere that Arizona isn't a sure win for Biden yet. Link to comment
C-4 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Post the Vegas odds again, teacher. I don’t understand how to project the winner well enough through the data... the Vegas odds make it simple Link to comment
Moiraine Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 Quote As you plan your sleep schedule for the rest of the week: We should have near-complete unofficial results from Wisconsin early tomorrow morning, as Milwaukee is expected to finish counting around 6 a.m. Eastern. Michigan originally said it would take until Friday to count all of its votes, but officials have revised that estimate to say they’ll be done tomorrow as well. Finally, Pennsylvania results probably won’t be known until Friday. Link to comment
Notre Dame Joe Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, Moiraine said: Well we pretty much know that the PA machine will receive any reasonable margin of votes by Friday. Link to comment
Born N Bled Red Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Where are all these extra rural voters coming from? Rural white people have always voted. How are there enough to counteract the record turnout in urban areas? Link to comment
Moiraine Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, FrantzHardySwag said: this happen? No one else has... NATE SILVER NOV. 3, 11:19 PM Biden leads by 9 points in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District and, more unexpectedly, by 11 points in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District. However, early votes were expected to be counted first in Nebraska, which means the results will likely become redder later on. Link to comment
Notre Dame Joe Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 16 minutes ago, Moiraine said: I read somewhere that Arizona isn't a sure win for Biden yet. I still feel sick edit: yes Fox News called AZ for Biden Link to comment
Moiraine Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 I wonder who Michael Scott would've voted for in this election. He reminds me of a non a$$h@!e version of Trump. Link to comment
FrantzHardySwag Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Moiraine said: No one else has... NATE SILVER NOV. 3, 11:19 PM Biden leads by 9 points in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District and, more unexpectedly, by 11 points in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District. However, early votes were expected to be counted first in Nebraska, which means the results will likely become redder later on. I'm thinking Arizona is happening. Link to comment
Moiraine Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 NATE SILVER NOV. 3, 11:26 PM Just speaking hypothetically: If Trump wins Florida, North Carolina and Ohio, but Biden wins Arizona, Biden is an 85 percent favorite in our scenario generator. There’s a 6 percent chance of an Electoral College tie, though. CLARE MALONE NOV. 3, 11:31 PM Arizona is looking promising for Biden. I wrote a couple of months ago about why the state seems to have been trending more and more purple. Barry Goldwater might be spinning in his grave, but analysts I talked to there said the state was a lot more independent-minded and small-c conservative (as opposed to Republican) than we give it credit for. Link to comment
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