The 2024 Presidential Election- The LONG General Election

[Moiraine]

On 10/23/2023 at 5:09 PM, Dr. Strangelove said:

I feel like I'm shouting into the void when I say how horrifically bad of an idea this is. 

 

Any other candidate loses the incumbency advantage sitting Presidents have. Losing 2-3% in a race likely to be decided by a few thousand votes across a handful of swing states is crazy.

 

There are no other options, any other candidates loses the incumbency advantage and won't make up the ground since it's impossible to win the 48% of voters that are going to vote for Trump no matter what. 

 

 

I’m not sure we can apply what happened in previous elections to this one. The circumstances are too different. 

[Dr. Strangelove]

45 minutes ago, Moiraine said:

 

 

I’m not sure we can apply what happened in previous elections to this one. The circumstances are too different. 

Every election is different. The incumbency advantage is consistent amongst nearly all elections over time. It's weaker than it used to be, but it's still important. 

 

Trumps approval rating in October of 2019 was 38%, similar to Biden's numbers now. And if he wasn't a moron who told his horde of believers not to vote by mail he probably wins reelection despite the Pandemic and his host of personal issues.

 

The reality is that all Presidents are going to be unpopular. The coalition of Democrats are more diverse and depress their candidates numbers even more. 

[TGHusker]

Interesting development.  Name recognition is probably about a 0.01%

 

 

[BigRedBuster]

3 hours ago, TGHusker said:

Interesting development.  Name recognition is probably about a 0.01%

 

 

Yeah...I'll be interested in seeing what his stances are on issues.  But, I don't remember much crazy coming from Minnesota Governor's office lately.

[DevoHusker]

 

 

[DevoHusker]

He hasn't announced, and I doubt he runs until 28.

 

 

 

[funhusker]

1 hour ago, DevoHusker said:

He hasn't announced, and I doubt he runs until 28.

 

 

 

Just showing that he plans to be rough on China!

[knapplc]

He's right.

 

 

[commando]

lol

 

 

[Archy1221]

1 hour ago, commando said:

lol

 

 

 

https://m.imdb.com/name/nm3553263/
 

Height

• 5′ 6″ (1.68 m)

 

[commando]

3 hours ago, Archy1221 said:

 

https://m.imdb.com/name/nm3553263/
 

Height

• 5′ 6″ (1.68 m)

 

yes...charlamagne seems much more confident with his height than DeSantis seems to be with his.   was that your point?

[BigRedBuster]

 

 

[Guy Chamberlin]

Who is the hot young lady lawyer representing the Trump family in the felony accounting fraud trial?

 

Obviously physical attractiveness should not be a factor in top notch legal representation, but that's kinda the point here, eh? 

[Guy Chamberlin]

Just a reminder that this thread is a poll, and among the 25 respondents there are still zero who plan to vote for Trump in the primary.

 

Yet we all know Trump will win the primaries handily, and roughly 30% of Americans consider him a literal gift from God.

 

Are some folks just not telling the truth, or does half the electorate simply avoid the HuskerBoard P&R threads? 

[BigRedBuster]

24 minutes ago, Guy Chamberlin said:

Just a reminder that this thread is a poll, and among the 25 respondents there are still zero who plan to vote for Trump in the primary.

 

Yet we all know Trump will win the primaries handily, and roughly 30% of Americans consider him a literal gift from God.

 

Are some folks just not telling the truth, or does half the electorate simply avoid the HuskerBoard P&R threads? 

Well, surprisingly since this is a Nebraska board, we have had very few actual Trump fans on here.  The one regular has stated multiple times that he won't vote for him again.  I can think of probably one other that, I would not be surprised, if he WOULD still vote for him.  But, I haven't seen him on this board for a long time.

 

PS...I dont' even remember who currently has my vote in the poll.  I went through the list thinking I would just revote.....I couldn't commit to any of them.