Saunders Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 Found this in Mandel's Mailbag. Quote Hey Stewart: I assume you saw the Vegas over/unders for season win totals. I know you aren’t a gambling man, but did any of those stand out to you? Anyone too high or too low in your view? Mark W. Oh, I’m a gambling man now, baby. I might not be able to cover games on Saturdays anymore because I’ll be too busy refreshing halftime lines. (To be clear, I’m joking. I’m a professional. I would never bet on an event I’m covering even if it’s legal. Also to be clear, I’m not winking at you right now.) In looking over the list, there were several times I saw a number that struck me as unduly high or low, but then I looked up the team’s schedule, and yeah, I could see that. They included Nebraska (over 5.5), Rutgers (over 4), Arizona (over 7), Stanford (over 8.5), Mississippi State (under 8) and Washington State (under 7.5). https://theathletic.com/364579/2018/05/23/mandels-mailbag-what-stands-out-among-vegas-college-football-win-total-over-unders/ Vegas Link: https://www.betdsi.eu/sportsbook-betting/college-football-odds/college-football-props/ 2 Quote Link to comment
teachercd Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 1. These guys all bet on the games. It doesn't make a writer "unprofessional" to gamble on a game, they have no impact on the outcome. 2. I like all his picks. Quote Link to comment
Redux Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 Yeah I like Nebraska's chances of beating a 5.5 win total. I mean hell, even if we only manage 6 wins (I truly believe 7 is bare minimum), it's a win. Think I'll get in on that action. Quote Link to comment
Red Five Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 Over 5.5 -105 Under 5.5 -125 I was expecting to see the juice on the over at like -140. The juice is almost on your side to take the over! 2 Quote Link to comment
BigRedBuster Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 I can't imagine winning less than 6. 1 Quote Link to comment
ColoradoHusk Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 3 hours ago, teachercd said: 1. These guys all bet on the games. It doesn't make a writer "unprofessional" to gamble on a game, they have no impact on the outcome. 2. I like all his picks. If you are a media person who could have access to "inside information", you would be stupid to not and try and use that to your advantage. I don't know how much that inside info really helps those guys with their betting, but like you say, it's not unprofessional. Quote Link to comment
bugeater17 Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 Man, I really hope it stays at 5.5 until I can get to Vegas later this summer. 1 Quote Link to comment
Hilltop Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 I was thinking the same thing- I'm not there until July. My guess is betting will drive the number up to 6.5 by then though. Quote Link to comment
Enhance Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 This is pretty fitting. I think Nebraska's best case scenario is seven wins right now. I think we'll hit the over. 3 Quote Link to comment
Caliborn72 Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 Sorry if already posted, here is ESPN’s FPI projections: Seems somewhat fair at 6-6, but I wouldn’t agree with most of the percentages. Specifically Northwestern: that seems like more of a toss-up than anything. Purdue and Colorado games likely determine if we go bowling, have to like our chances there. My main concern for this year is our depth, which sounds shaky and possibly worse than I expected. Depth issues means I have no confidence in the last 5 games or so, excluding Illinois. Iowa on the road is a manageable game unless we are dealing with some injuries by that point. 3 Quote Link to comment
HuskerInLostWages Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 Think I will pop on over and put a bet tomorrow on the over. Quote Link to comment
Scarlet Overkill Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 'Memba last year when we were all outraged by this type of prediction? Ok, ok, so i wasn't outraged, but it was puzzling to me how we could Vegas saying our win total would be so low, and yet somehow scouts were drooling over our first round draft pick QB. It didn't really compute. Sometimes you just have to be shown. 2 Quote Link to comment
Making Chimichangas Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 11 hours ago, Enhance said: This is pretty fitting. I think Nebraska's best case scenario is seven wins right now. I think we'll hit the over. I think we'll get the over as well. I'm going with 8 wins. Quote Link to comment
Moiraine Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 34 minutes ago, Making Chimichangas said: I think we'll get the over as well. I'm going with 8 wins. I was leaning towards 8 but our OL seems scary thin and was bad last year. Next season seems to be set up well though. But I won't be surprised with Frost if we win more than. 2 Quote Link to comment
HuskersNC949597 Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 3 hours ago, Dilly Dilly said: 'Memba last year when we were all outraged by this type of prediction? Ok, ok, so i wasn't outraged, but it was puzzling to me how we could Vegas saying our win total would be so low, and yet somehow scouts were drooling over our first round draft pick QB. It didn't really compute. Sometimes you just have to be shown. I momember (??) 2002, same thing. I was shocked the media didn't think Nebraska would be very good that year and was ready to fire off a series of "Oh YEAH?" type emails, then the season came and went, half the coaching staff retired or was canned, and I learned a valuable lesson in objectivity But I feel pretty good about the long-term prospects under Frost, to be sure. 1 Quote Link to comment
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